The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Thursday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 runs (-115)
Analysis: Since March 25, 2015, road favorites following a game in which they scored between 15 and 20 runs are 37-19 (66.1%) OVER in games with a total of less than eleven runs. This situation is 13-3 (81.3%) OVER since April 7, 2021. Since September 11, 2018, the Yankees are 28-13 (68.3%) OVER as favorites of -140 or greater following a win as road favorites in which they never trailed. This angle is 3-0-2 OVER in its last five circumstances.
Finally, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole is 5-5 with a 4.44 ERA in thirteen career starts against the Red Sox, including allowing a combined 9 earned runs on 15 hits in his past three trips to Fenway Park (13.0 IP). Take the over and invest with confidence.
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (-1.5) (-115)
Analysis: Since August 30, 2020, the Chicago White Sox are 41-17 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up and 35-23 (+24.5% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which their opponent scored first. Chicago falls into one of my best MLB systems which is 388-122 (+9.7% ROI) straight-up and 295-212 (+8.9% ROI) against the run line since 2017.
The White Sox also apply to an excellent MLB system that is 282-96 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 210-168 (+2.0% ROI) against the run line since 2020. This situation is 255-86 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 192-146 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line since March 27, 2021. Finally, Chicago right-hander Dylan Cease is 10-0 with a 1.91 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in eleven career starts against the Tigers. Take the White Sox and invest with confidence.
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-130)
Analysis: Since August 5, 2014, the Giants are 0-18 (-100.0% ROI) straight-up and 8-9 (-20.1% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs following a game as road favorites in which they used five or more pitchers. Since April 6, 2021, the Padres are 14-1 (+45.5% ROI) straight-up and 8-7 (+13.5% ROI) against the run line at home following an upset loss as favorites in which they left eight or more runners on base.
San Diego right-hander Joe Musgrove has limited the Giants to just 1 run on 7 hits in his previous two outings, a span covering 12.0 innings of work. Finally, MLB home favorites of -135 or greater are 207-85 (+12.9% ROI) straight-up and 125-111 (+13.4% ROI) against the run line with one day of rest following a game in which they allowed more than five runs. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Thursday, July 7
- Since June 1, 2019, the Atlanta Braves are 45-17 (+13.7% ROI) straight-up and 32-29 (+16.6% ROI) against the run line as home favorites of -131 or greater versus opponents with a worse winning percentage, including 11-1 SU and 9-3 RL in the last twelve circumstances.
- Since June 12, 2015, certain MLB home favorites of -140 or greater off a win as favorites in which they had three times (or more) hits than runs scored are 98-36 (+13.9% ROI) straight-up for a +10.2% net profit against the run line. Since the beginning of the 2021 regular season, this situation is 28-9 (+17.8% ROI) straight-up and 19-18 (+8.3% ROI) against the run line.
- Since September 16, 2021, the Kansas City Royals are 0-13 (-100.0% ROI) straight-up and 2-11 (-72.0% ROI) against the run line in the last game of a series following a game in which they scored five or more runs.
- Since July 21, 2021, San Francisco starting pitcher Logan Webb is 9-0 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or less (or as an underdog).
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