Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report for Sunday, July 3

Jul 3, 2022

mlb betting, mlb betting picks, mlb betting odds

The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Sunday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (-132)

Analysis: Toronto right-hander Ross Stripling toes the rubber with a 3.12 ERA, 3.05 FIP and 3.75 SIERA across eighteen appearances (ten starts) this season. The 32-year-old keeps the ball on the ground (50.0% GB%) and in play (0.62 HR/9), while also avoiding too much hard contact (29.3% Hard%). Stripling was phenomenal in June where he posted a 1.59 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 2.66 FIP in 28 1/3 innings of work.

Since June 18, 2017, the Blue Jays are 23-10 (+42.1% ROI) straight-up and 19-14 (+17.1% ROI) against the run line in home affairs following a game in which they gave up ten or more runs. This situation is 19-7 (73.1%) straight-up since August 9, 2018. Since July 7, 2019, the Blue Jays are 13-6 (+10.7% ROI) straight-up as favorites following a loss by five or more runs. Take Toronto and invest with confidence.

Texas Rangers at New York Mets (-141)

Analysis: Since April 12, 2022, the Mets are 20-2 (+66.2% ROI) straight-up and 17-5 (+54.1% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they had more than one walk. Since September 10, 2021, the Mets are 11-3 (+50.0% ROI) straight-up and 10-4 (+32.1% ROI) against the run line following a loss by more than three runs. Since May 22, 2022, the Mets are 11-2 (+38.1% ROI) straight-up and 9-4 (+49.2% ROI) against the run line as favorites with a starting pitcher who threw six innings or less in his previous outing.

Since September 18, 2019, the Rangers are 7-20 (-42.2% ROI) straight-up in road affairs with a starting pitcher who won his previous two outings. Finally, Texas falls into a very negative 16-60 (-42.7% ROI) system that invests against certain underdogs off a game as road underdogs versus teams with a better winning percentage. Take the Mets and invest with confidence.

Milwaukee Brewers (-191) at Pittsburgh Pirates

Analysis: Since September 15, 2019, the Brewers are 13-1 (+68.8% ROI) straight-up and 11-3 (+48.0% ROI) against the run line on the road (in pre-All-Star games) if they have a home game on deck. Since May 3, 2017, the Brewers are 15-8 (+9.7% ROI) straight-up and 13-10 (+14.7% ROI) against the run line with Brandon Woodruff on the mound if the bullpen allowed more runs than Woodruff did in his previous start. The UNDER is 20-7 (74.1%) in these circumstances since September 2, 2017. Milwaukee is 12-5 UNDER versus Pittsburgh starter Jose Quintana. Finally, the Brewers are a profitable 8-2 (+3.7 units) versus Pittsburgh with Woodruff on the hill.  Take Milwaukee and invest with confidence.

Additional Betting Trends for Sunday, July 3

  • Since September 20, 2018, the Houston Astros are 37-14 (+11.4% ROI) straight-up in divisional home affairs versus left-handed starters.
  • Since March 11, 2022, non-divisional road favorites are 73-30 (+21.4% ROI) straight-up and 64-39 (+28.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less.
  • Since March 25, 2019, Los Angeles starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw is 7-1 (+25.0% ROI) straight-up and 7-1 (+62.0% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he lasted fewer than five innings.
  • Since September 17, 2021, road favorites off a win are 60-29 (+15.3% ROI) straight-up and 50-39 (+17.0% ROI) against the run line with a starting pitcher who lost his previous outing against the opponent if his team won the previous matchup.

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