The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Saturday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.
Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants (-1.5) (-115)
Analysis: Since September 9, 2020, San Francisco starter Logan Webb is 14-0 (+63.3% ROI) straight-up and 11-3 (+37.3% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which the opposing team’s starting pitcher allowed two or more runs. San Francisco applies to a very strong 267-90 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 201-156 (+3.0% ROI) run line system that is 240-80 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 183-137 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line since 2021.
Finally, Cincinnati falls into a very negative 28-66 run line system that invests against certain road underdogs with bullpen ERAs of 6.01 or worse over their last fifteen games. Fading these road dogs has produced a 9-2 (+6.5 units) record over the last three seasons. Take San Francisco and invest with confidence.
Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox UNDER 9 runs (+100)
Analysis: Since September 22, 2018, Chicago starter Lance Lynn is 10-1 UNDER at home following an outing in which he pitched fewer than six innings. Since August 16, 2020, the White Sox are 17-6 UNDER at home following a game as home favorites in which their opponent scored runs in more innings. The White Sox are 23-12-1 UNDER since August 16, 2020, as home favorites off a game in which their opponent scored runs in more separate innings, including 8-1 UNDER in their last nine circumstances. Take the under and invest with confidence.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves (-148)
Analysis: Since September 19, 2019, the Braves are 28-12 (+9.9% ROI) straight-up as home favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. Since May 22, 2019, the Braves are 23-5 (+40.0% ROI) straight-up and 21-7 (+43.0% ROI) against the run line with Max Fried on the mound if he won his previous start as a home favorite. Since June 30, 2021, Fried is 12-0 (+70.1% ROI) straight-up and 9-3 (+60.0% ROI) against the run line following a team loss in which the Braves gave up more than three runs.
Finally, home teams are a profitable 32-22 (+7.0 units) with umpire CB Bucknor behind the plate over the last three seasons, including 10-3 (+8.0 units) this season. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
The over may also be worth a look as the Braves are 30-9 OVER since September 19, 2019, as home favorites of -140 or more following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings.
Additional Betting Trends for Saturday, June 25
- Since September 1, 2020, favorites coming off a shutout loss are 52-16 (+32.9% ROI) straight-up and 43-25 (+36.7% ROI) against the run line with starting pitchers who were underdogs in their previous outing, including 37-3 (+48.6% ROI) straight-up and 30-10 (+64.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -126 or greater.
- Since May 1, 2019, the Chicago White Sox are 67-24 (+17.0% ROI) straight-up and 54-36 (+25.2% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or more following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings.
- Since September 2, 2015, the Detroit Tigers are 3-17 (-65.0% ROI) straight-up and 7-13 (-37.1% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs in game 2 of a series following a road affair versus an opponent that has lost two or more consecutive games.
- Since March 27, 2019, divisional favorites of -131 or greater in games with a total of six or more runs are 102-36 straight-up versus opponents off a game in which they had ten-plus hits but no home runs.
- Since March 27, 2020, non-divisional home favorites in games with a total of 6.5 runs or more are 41-18 straight-up versus opponents entering off an upset win with a starting pitcher who issued no walks in his previous outing.