The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Saturday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) (-145) at Detroit Tigers
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, certain road favorites of -148 or greater are 372-175 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 298-249 (+4.2% ROI) against the run line in August affairs with a total of ten runs or less. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 377-143 (+4.6% ROI) straight-up and 313-206 (+3.2% ROI) against the run line. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 93-42 (+17.1% ROI) straight-up and 76-59 (+16.8%) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less.
Since August 1, 2007, the Tigers are 3-53 (-80.4% ROI) straight-up and 16-40 (-40.1% ROI) against the run line as underdogs in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game as underdogs versus opposing pitchers who defeated them in their last matchup provided they are not on an extended losing streak. Take Tampa Bay and invest with confidence.
Houston Astros (-152) at Cleveland Guardians
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, certain road favorites of -148 or greater are 372-175 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 298-249 (+4.2% ROI) against the run line in August affairs with a total of ten runs or less. Since September 17, 2021, road favorites that won their previous matchup against the opponent are 69-36 (+11.0% ROI) straight-up and 59-46 (+16.4% ROI) against the run line with a starting pitcher who lost his previous matchup against the opponent. Cleveland starter Cal Quantrill is 0-12 straight-up and 2-9 (-59.0% ROI) against the run line as a home underdog in games with a total of more than seven runs. Finally, Houston applies to a very good 706-358 system that has been profitable against the run line since 2017. Take the Astros and invest with confidence.
San Francisco Giants (-1.5) (-125) at Oakland Athletics
Analysis: Since August 29, 2018, the Athletics are 14-35 (-14.8% ROI) straight-up and 1.0% ROI against the run line as underdogs of more than +160. Since April 22, 2022, the Athletics are 4-18 (-56.0% ROI) straight-up and 5-17 (-57.0% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which their bullpen gave up two or more runs. There’s one additional parameter in this situation that pertains to the number of hits the opponent had in the previous game. Since October 3, 2018, the Athletics are 2-15 (-71.0% ROI) straight-up and 5-17 (-57.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +130 or more in game 1 of a series following a game in which their bullpen allowed two or more runs.
Since August 1, 2011, certain road favorites of -148 or greater are 372-175 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 298-249 (+4.2% ROI) against the run line in August affairs with a total of ten runs or less. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 377-143 (+4.6% ROI) straight-up and 313-206 (+3.2% ROI) against the run line. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 93-42 (+17.1% ROI) straight-up and 76-59 (+16.8%) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take San Francisco and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Saturday, August 6
- Since June 6, 2019, Washington starter Patrick Corbin is 6-24 (-49.9% ROI) straight-up and 10-17 (-25.0% ROI) against the run line as an underdog if he lost his previous start. This situation is 1-13 straight-up and 3-11 against the run line since September 24, 2021.
- Since April 12, 2022, the New York Mets are 13-0 straight-up and 11-2 (+60.8% ROI) against the run line in divisional affairs following a loss in which they drew multiple walks.
- Since 2022, the New York Mets are 22-2 (+49.8% ROI) straight-up and 17-7 (+57.5% ROI) against the run line as favorites following a loss.
- Since April 12, 2022, the New York Mets are 25-2 (+68.9% ROI) straight-up and 21-6 (+54.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they had two or more walks.
- Since August 1, 2021, New York starter Max Scherzer is 15-1 (+42.8% ROI) and 12-4 (+43.0% ROI) against the run line following a win in his previous outing if he had five or more strikeouts and allowed fewer than four runs.
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