Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report for Monday, June 27

Jun 27, 2022

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The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.

Minnesota Twins (-119) at Cleveland Guardians

Analysis: Since March 27, 2021, teams in game one of a series coming off a three-game sweep (and the last game went over the total) are a money-burning 8-25 straight-up (1-5 L/6). Road favorites with starting pitchers who lost their previous personal matchup against the home team are a profitable 47-14 straight-up if their team won the previous matchup versus the opponent, including 28-9 straight-up in divisional play.

Finally, Cleveland right-hander Triston McKenzie is 1-4 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in six career starts against the Twins. In contrast, Minnesota starter Sonny Gray is 5-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in fourteen career outings against the Guardians. Take Minnesota and invest with confidence.

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (-176)

Analysis: Since March 27, 2019, divisional favorites of -131 or greater versus opponents coming off a game with ten or more hits and no home runs are 103-36 straight-up in games with a total of six or more runs. This situation is a profitable 30-7 straight-up if the team lost their previous game by more than two runs. Since July 7, 2019, the Blue Jays are 12-6 (+7.9% ROI) straight-up and +13.3% ROI against the run line as favorites following a loss by five or more runs.

Since September 1, 2021, the Blue Jays are 12-4 (+28.1% ROI) straight-up and 9-7 (+11.0% ROI) against the run line in games 1 and 2 of a series following a game in which they allowed eight runs or more. Since June 18, 2017, the Blue Jays are 22-10 (+41.7% ROI) straight-up and 18-14 (+14.8% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which they gave up ten or more runs. Take Toronto and invest with confidence.

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners (-149)

Analysis: Seattle falls into a profitable 68-24 system that invests on certain American League home favorites of -125 to -175 that allow 4.4 or fewer runs per game versus starting pitchers who gave up no earned runs in their previous outing. This situation is 45-18 (+18.9 units) over the last three seasons.

Baltimore falls into very negative 19-90 (-51.7% ROI) and 15-68 (-50.0% ROI) statistical profile indicators that date back to April 14, 2018, and invest against the Orioles when playing without rest versus opposing starting pitchers with a certain strikeout-to-walk ratio. The above indicators have all produced a substantial profit against the run line. The 15-68 situation is 6-21 (-44.7% ROI) since July 21, 2021.

Seattle right-hander George Kirby toes the rubber with a 3.12 ERA and 3.35 SIERA in nine starts this season (49.0 IP). In his last five starts, Kirby has posted a 2.17 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 29 innings with 27 strikeouts. Take Seattle and invest with confidence.

Additional Betting Trends for Monday, June 27

  • Since April 19, 2022, the New York Yankees are 19-1 (+42.6% ROI) straight-up and 14-6 (+39.0% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series, including 9-0 straight-up and 7-2 against the run line since May 24, 2022.
  • Colorado starting pitcher Chad Kuhl is 0-7 straight-up since July 29, 2021, coming off a start where he allowed multiple runs.
  • The Oakland Athletics are 0-9 straight-up since April 17, 2022, as an underdog of more than +160.