The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) (-140)
Analysis: Since September 24, 2020, the Dodgers are 58-10 (+21.4% ROI) straight-up and 49-19 (+33.4% ROI) against the run line following a home game versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.01 or worse. Los Angeles is 21-8 (+13.2 units) against the run line following three or more consecutive wins and 15-3 (+10.6 units) versus .380 or worse opposition this season. Los Angeles right-hander Tony Gonsolin is 7-1 (+7.0 units) at home versus teams that are averaging seven or more strikeouts per game this season. Finally, Los Angeles applies to a very good 504-153 and 35-14 systems of mine that have both been profitable against the run line. Take the Dodgers and invest with confidence.
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs (-115)
Analysis: Since September 28, 2019, Colorado starer Kyle Freeland is 9-3 UNDER in road starts if he enters off a win in his previous outing. Since June 22, 2021, Freeland is 9-2 UNDER following an outing in which he allowed four or more runs. Finally, Freeland is 25-4 UNDER as a road underdog of +140 or greater in his major league career. Take the UNDER and invest with confidence.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (-142)
Analysis: Since August 1, 2020, the Pirates are 0-12 straight-up and -24.0% ROI against the run line following an extra-innings affair if they are priced between +120 and +270. Since 2020, home favorites that have allowed less than five runs in three or more consecutive games are 61-38 (+7.0% ROI) straight-up versus opponents off a one-run victory if the total is greater than 8 runs. This situation is 15-1 straight-up since April 13, 2022. Since 2020, home favorites of -126 or greater are 19-0 straight-up and 15-4 against the run line in the first game of a divisional series played in June or later if the total is lower than the previous game.
Finally, the Pirates fall into a very negative 154-325 (-22.3% ROI) system that dates to 2008 and invests against certain unrested underdogs of more than +110 in game 1 of a series if they are entering off an extra-inning affair. This situation is 35-85 (-25.4% ROI) straight-up since 2018. Take Chicago and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Monday, July 25
- Since 2019, the Houston Astros are 66-31 (+10.8% ROI) straight-up and 52-45 (+4.2% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a three-game series, including 30-15 (+6.7% ROI) straight-up and 24-21 (+5.8% ROI) against the run line since May 29, 2021.
- Since May 7, 2018, Colorado starter Kyle Freeland is 6-18 (-20.4% ROI) straight-up as a road underdog of more than +140. This situation is 3-12 (-80.0% ROI) straight-up and 5-7 against the run line since September 22, 2019.
- Since September 21, 2017, the Philadelphia Phillies are 4-17 (-50.7% ROI) straight-up and 9-12 (-24.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +140 or greater following a game in which their opponent’s bullpen gave up more runs than the starting pitcher.
- This season, favorites are 27-8 straight-up with a starter coming off a quality start versus the opponent in the first game of a divisional series if the total does not equal the previous total.
- This season, divisional underdogs of +181 or greater with a starter who beat the team in his last start are 1-9 straight-up and 2-8 against the run line.
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