The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-155)
Analysis: Since May 1, 2019, the White Sox are 74-28 (+15.1% ROI) straight-up and 58-43 (+20.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or more following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. Since August 30, 2020, the White Sox are 43-20 (+5.6% ROI) straight-up and 37-26 (+21.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which their opponents scored first.
Since June 9, 2021, Kansas City starter Brad Keller is 1-12 (-83.4% ROI) straight-up and 2-11 (-70.2% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which allowed three or more runs in five-plus innings of work. Finally, Chicago is 24-13 (+7.6% ROI) straight-up and 22-14 (+27.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as home favorites in which they allowed six or fewer hits. Take the White Sox and invest with confidence.
Totals Trend: Kansas City starter Brad Keller is 18-3 UNDER since April 7, 2019, following a home outing in which he gave up three or more runs.
Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers (-155)
Analysis: Since May 9, 2014, the Rangers are 18-1 (+57.7% ROI) straight-up and 14-=5 (+676.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -135 or greater in the first game of a series when playing with same-season revenge. Since September 25, 2020, the Orioles are a money-burning 83-148 (-9.9% ROI) as underdogs.
My only concern with backing Texas at this price is the fact that the Orioles fall into a very strong 46-18 (+32.0 units) system that invests on certain starting pitchers who average three strikeouts or less per outing if the bullpen’s ERA is 2.50 or better over the previous fifteen games.
Additional Betting Trends for Monday, August 1
- Since September 12, 2020, the Washington Nationals are 12-36 (-38.4% ROI) straight-up and 19-29 (-25.0% ROI) against the run line as home underdogs off a loss as underdogs.
- Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 409-174 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 323-252 (+2.4% ROI) against the run line following a win.
- Since April 28, 2021, the Arizona Diamondbacks are a money-burning 56-130 (-25.5% ROI) straight-up as underdogs.
- Since July 21, 2021, San Francisco starter Logan Webb is 11-0 UNDER in games priced at -109 or less
- Since September 8, 2020, San Francisco starter Logan Webb is 16-0 (+60.5% ROI) straight-up and 11-5 (+43.4% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which the opposing team’s starting pitcher allowed two or more runs.
- Since September 1, 2020, San Francisco starter Logan Webb is 15-0 straight-up and 10-5 (+41% ROI) against the run line at home following an outing in which he lasted at least five innings and allowed one or more runs. This situation is 9-3 against the run line in its last twelve circumstances.
- Since September 20, 2021, the New York Yankees are 10-0 straight-up and 6-4 (+65.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of more than -185 following a loss.
- Since April 19, 2022, the New York Yankees are 24-7 (+18.6% ROI) straight-up and 17-14 (+8.3% ROI) against the run line in game 1 of a series.
- Since April 23, 2021, the Arizona Diamondbacks are 1-22 (-91.3% ROI) straight-up and 8-15 (-38.5% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs in game 1 of a series with a starting pitcher who allowed four or more hits in his previous outing.
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