Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, April 16! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings UNDER 215.5 points (-110)
Report:Since 2001, NBA games between teams that have the lowest total of their last three games in contests with totals of less than 225 points are 1253-932-74 (57.3%), including 572-407-30 (58.4%) since 2015, covering the total by an average margin of -2.4 points per game. Since 1995, NBA contests between teams that have combined to average 430 or more points in their last three games are 655-476-26 to the Under (57.9%) with totals of less than 216 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 729-571-41 to the Under (56.1%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 2004, favorites in Game 1 of a playoff series are 101-73-3 to the Under (58%), including 40-25 UNDER (61.5%) since 2018, going under by an average margin of -4.6 points per game.
Since 2011, NBA playoff teams with fewer than three days of rest are 104-84-2 to the Under (55.8%) in Game 1 of a series, including 50-33-1 UNDER (60.2%) since 2019. Finally, since 1989, NBA playoff favorites of less than six points with fewer than 44 wins are 32-23-3 to the Under (58.2%), including 9-6-1 UNDER (60%) since 2018, going under by an average of -3.4 points per game.
Detroit Red Wings (-120) at New Jersey Devils
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3004-1994 (60.1%; +3.4% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2507-1691 (59.7%; +3.7% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2217-1442 (60.6%; +2.4% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 666-430 (60.8%; +1% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.6 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of less than -200 with same-season revenge are 1002-593 (62.8%; +10.1% ROI). Since 2002, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 667-376 (64%; +8.6% ROI). Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of -180 or less with more rest than their opponent are 1258-840 (60%; +5.5% ROI) in games with totals of less than six goals.
Finally, since 2003, unrested home underdogs are 309-541 (36.4%; -15.3% ROI), including 143-321 (30.8%) since 2015, losing by an average of -0.9 goals per game.
Oakland Athletics (-150) at Chicago White Sox
Report: Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -140 to -190 in the first two months of the season are 728-448 SU (61.9%; +2% ROI) versus league opponents, including 338-188 SU (64.3%; +5.1% ROI) and 276-249 RL (+6.0% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.7 runs per game. Since 2008, American League home underdogs coming off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 338-555 SU (37.8%; -9.2% ROI), losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Since 2010, American League road favorites of -120 to -220 are 1393-936 SU (59.8%; +1.2% ROI) versus non-division opponents, including 628-410 SU (60.5%; +1.4% ROI) and 497-539 RL (+1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.3 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home underdogs with totals between 7-8 runs coming off a game in which they had 11 hits or less are 1874-2567 SU (42.2%; -5% ROI), including 426-624 SU (40.6%; -7.6% ROI) and 565-485 RL (-4.8% ROI) since 2021, losing by an average of -1.1 runs per game.
Finally, since 2007, MLB home underdogs coming off a loss in games that start after 4 p.m. eastern time are just 2199-3093 SU (41.6%; -5.7% ROI) and 2818-2454 RL (-4.8% ROI), including 720-1090 SU (39.8%; -6.9% ROI) and 924-885 RL (-7.4% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.2 runs per game.
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