Oskeim’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, 2/28

Feb 28, 2024

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, February 28!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Wednesday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Cleveland Cavaliers (-5) (-110) at Chicago Bulls

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1509-1226-56 ATS (55.2%), including 651-521-27 ATS (55.5%) since 2018. Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -2 to -5 points in games with totals between 210 and 235 points are 410-313-16 ATS (56.7%) in the second half of the regular season. Since 2014, NBA road favorites of greater than three points averaging fewer points per game than the league average are 302-224 ATS (57.4%) from Game 28 out, including 57.9% ATS since 2020. Since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, unrested NBA teams that made eight or fewer three-pointers in their previous game are 66-97-7 ATS (40.5%), including 41-61-3 ATS (40.2%) since 2022. Since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 772-1011-37 ATS (43.3%) versus .749 or worse opponents.

However, NBA underdogs like Chicago are 58-40-3 ATS (59.2%) versus unrested opponents coming off a win by four points or less since 2017, including 31-9-1 ATS (77.5%) since 2021, covering the spread by an average of +6.9 points per game. Finally, unrested NBA home teams priced between -7 and +7 are 41-22-2 ATS (65.1%) versus opponents coming off a home game since 2018, including 22-7-1 ATS (75.9%) since 2021, covering by an average of +5.7 points per game.

New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers (-6.5) (-110)

Report: Since 2008, rested NBA non-conference favorites coming off an upset home loss are 108-83-3 ATS (56.5%) versus opponents entering off a game in which they scored 102 or more points, including 47-31-1 ATS (60.3%) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +7.41 points per game. Since 1991, NBA teams coming off a loss as home favorites are 35-17-1 ATS (67.3%) versus opponents with fewer than two days of rest in games with totals greater than 233 points, including 27-11-1 ATS (71.1%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average of +6.5 points per game. This situation contains a very good 28-11-1 ATS (71.8%) subset angle involving favorites with more rest than their opponents.

Since 2018, NBA home teams coming off an upset loss by eight or more points that are playing their third game in four days are 64-48-3 ATS (57.1%), including 31-19-1 ATS (62%) since 2021. Finally, NBA teams coming off a game in which they made 50% or more of their three-point attempts are 318-374-16 ATS (46%).

Dallas Mavericks (-3) (-110) at Toronto Raptors

Report: Since 1995, NBA favorites are 285-92- SU (756.6%) and 222-149-6 ATS (59.8%) versus opponents coming off two or more consecutive road wins as underdogs, winning by an average margin of +7.6 points per game. The Mavericks are 186-119-4 ATS (61%) following a road loss since 2010, including 47-29 ATS (61.8%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average of +4.64 points per game. The Mavericks are 35-11 SU (76.1%) and 33-12-1 ATS (73.3%) since December 31, 2021, when priced between +2 and -4 in regular-season affairs with fewer than two days of rest, including 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six circumstances.

Since 2003, NBA home underdogs coming off a win as road underdogs are 89-129-6 ATS (40.8%) in games with totals of at least 205 points. Finally, since 1995, .399 or worse NBA teams coming off a win that are averaging over 200 combined points per game on the season are 400-486-17 ATS (45.1%) from Game 50 out.

Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks, NBA Predictions and NCAA Basketball Predictions throughout the 2023-24 basketball seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.

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