Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Tuesday, April 8! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Tuesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Toronto Maple Leafs (-118) at Florida Panthers
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2995-1988 (60.1%; +3.4% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2499-1684 (59.7%; +3.8% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2214-1439 (60.6%; +2.4% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 663-427 (60.8%; +1% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.6 goals per game. Since 2008, NHL road favorites coming off a game as favorites with a road game on deck are 813-492 (62.3%; +6.5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents from Game 24 out. Since 2008, NHL road favorites with more rest are 490-270 (64.5%; +6.8% ROI) versus opponents entering off a loss, including 193-83 (69.9%; +9.9% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.1 goals per game. Since 2001, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 786-431 (64.6%; +8.5% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest, including 269-147 (64.7%; +4.0% ROI) since 2020. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off back-to-back unders are 397-243 (62%; +7.1% ROI) if they won their last game.
Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 628-417 (60.1%; +3.6% ROI), including 211-115 (64.7%; +6.7% ROI) since 2020. Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs coming off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1132-1600 (41.4%; -5.5% ROI), including 342-560 (37.9%; -9.0% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game.
Ottawa Senators (-125) at Columbus Blue Jackets
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2995-1988 (60.1%; +3.4% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2499-1684 (59.7%; +3.8% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, .500 or greater conference road favorites are 378-181 (67.6%; +10.2% ROI) versus .499 or worse opponents playing their third game in four days, including 207-79 (72.4%; +13.5% ROI) since 2016, winning by an average of +1.0 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -160 or less are 384-207 (65%; +14.9% ROI) versus opponents with one or fewer days of rest in non-October affairs, including 195-96 (67%; +18.5% ROI) since 2016. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off back-to-back unders are 397-243 (62%; +7.1% ROI) if they won their last game. Since 2002, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off a home win and two or more consecutive home games are 446-246 (64.5%; +10.8% ROI) versus opponents with the same or worse win percentage in games with totals of greater than five goals, including 185-92 (66.8%; +12.9% ROI) since 2020.
Since 2003, NHL home underdogs coming off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1132-1600 (41.4%; -5.5% ROI), including 342-560 (37.9%; -9.0% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game. Finally, since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1362-2216 (38.1%; -5.8% ROI) and -3.3% ROI PL, including 373-736 (33.6%; -11.9% ROI) and -6.2% PL since 2020.
Minnesota Timberwolves (-5.5) (-110) at Milwaukee Bucks
Report: Since 1989, .360 or greater non-division road favorites of -2.5 to -11.5 points with revenge for a SU and ATS loss coming off no more than eight consecutive wins in games with totals of 171 to 234.5 points are 509-311-15 ATS (62.1%) versus opponents entering off no more than three consecutive losses. Since 1989, .599 or worse road favorites of greater than three points are 691-512-28 ATS (57.4%) after the All-Star break, including 200-117-5 ATS (63.1%) since 2020. Since 1989, non-conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 723-592-28 ATS (55%), including 173-134-6 ATS (56.4%) since 2020. Since 1989, Western Conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 473-349-18 ATS (57.5%) versus non-conference opponents.
Since 1998, .599 or worse road favorites of less than -12 with two or more days of rest are 122-64-5 ATS (65.6%) versus opponents playing their third game in four days, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.8 points per game. Finally, Minnesota applies to a very good 344-215-10 ATS (61.5%) contrarian system of mine that invests against .511 or greater teams entering off four consecutive wins, provided they are not on an extended ATS winning streak.
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