Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Thursday, February 22! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Thursday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Boston Bruins (-125) at Calgary Flames
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2005-1273 (61.2%; +3.7% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 454-261 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 602-324 (65%; +10.5% ROI). Since 2003, NHL home underdogs coming off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1049-1495 (41.2%; -6.3% ROI), including 259-455 (36.3%; -13% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.8 goals per game.
Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2246-1479 (60.3%; +5.1% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Finally, the Bruins are 126-83 (60.3%; +8.7% ROI) since 2012 as road favorites of -150 or less, including 57-30 (65.5%; +16.4% ROI) since 2019.
Vancouver Canucks (-128) at Seattle Kraken
Report: Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -120 to -200 that are not coming off an overtime game in their last two games are 489-275 (64%; +7.7% ROI) from Game 50 out. This situation contains a 240-145 (62.3%; +5.7% ROI) subset angle that dates to 2005 and has produced a net profit of +9% since 2012. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -150 or less coming off a loss as underdogs are 373-250 (59.9%; +8.1% ROI). Since 2003, .601 or greater conference favorites coming off three consecutive losses are 46-21 (68.7%; +2.3% ROI) versus .499 or worse opposition, winning by an average margin of +0.91 goals per game.
Since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are 352-498 (41.4%; -6.2% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 119-191 (38.4%; -12% ROI) since 2018. Since 2014, NHL teams coming off an overtime game are 224-300 (42.7%; -3.1% ROI), including 72-106 (40.4%; -4.2% ROI) since 2021. Finally, since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2246-1479 (60.3%; +5.1% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents.
UC-Davis (-1) (-110) at Cal State Northridge
Report: Since 2005, college basketball teams coming off back-to-back upset losses as favorites are 282-200-12 ATS (58.5%), including 119-69-4 ATS (63.3%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.0 points per game. These teams are 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since January 13, 2024, winning by an average of +7.11 points per game and covering the spread by an average of +8.1 points per game. Cal Davis is 34-19-1 ATS (64.2%) since November 26, 2019, in road affairs, including 6-1 ATS since November 30, 2023.
UC-Davis has dominated this series, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the past ten meetings and will easily contain Northridge’s anemic perimeter attack that is ranked 279th in three-point percentage (31.9) and 348th in three-pointers made per game (5.1).
Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers OVER 246.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 546-461-28 to the Over (54.2%), covering the total by an average margin of +1.7 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 331-258-20 to the Over (56.2%), including 313-240-18 OVER (56.6%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of +2.4 points per game. Since 2008, NBA favorites of at least six points with three or more days of rest are 271-196-17 to the Over (58%), including 87-50-6 OVER (63.5%) since 2018, going over by an average of +6.11 points per game.
Finally, the over applies to a very good 226-172-16 (56.8%) statistical profile indicator of mine that invests on the over in games involving teams coming off a win with certain assist-to-turnover ratios.
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