Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Thursday, December 4! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Thursday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Minnesota Wild (-116) at Calgary Flames
Report: Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3071-2055 (60%; +3.0% ROI). The Flames are playing their sixth consecutive road affair and, since 2007, .499 or worse NHL underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1391-2254 (38.2%; -5.6% ROI). Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2266-1488 (60.4%; +2.0% ROI) with a road game on deck. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -107 to -174 coming off one win exact are 452-258 (63.7%; +11.4% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game as underdogs that are not on a prolonged losing streak, including 188-99 (66%; +13.6% ROI) since 2019.
Finally, since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are 402-594 (40.4%; -7.8% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 169-287 (37.1%; -13.7% ROI) since 2018.
St. Louis Blues (-141) at Boston Bruins
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2266-1488 (60.4%; +2.0% ROI) with a road game on deck. St. Louis hasn’t played since its 4-1 loss to the Ducks on Monday. Since 2001, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 803-450 (64.1%; +7.7% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest. In addition, non-division NHL road favorites with more rest than their opponent are 524-299 (63.7%; +6.4% ROI) since 2010, winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game.
Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs entering off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1157-16290 (41.5%; -5.3% ROI), including 367-589 (38.4%; -8.2% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game.
Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers (-176)
Report: Edmonton enters off a 1-0 home loss to the Wild, which is significant because NHL home favorites of greater than -160 entering off a home game are 334-144 (69.9%) in December affairs, including 124-36 (77.5%; +10.7% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.4 goals per game. Seattle has dropped three straight games, scoring a combined two goals in those contests. Based on those results, the Oilers fall into a very good 224-105 (68.1%; +5.1% ROI) and +7.1% ROI PL system of mine that invests on certain home favorites versus opponents in poor offensive form. This situation is 77-28 (73.3%; +12.5% ROI) and 56-49 PL (+7.1% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +1.5 goals per game.
Finally, .499 or worse large home favorites are 198-68 (74.4%; +4.3% ROI) in the first half of the season.
Utah Jazz (-5) (-110) at Brooklyn Nets
Report: Since 1999, .360 or worse NBA road favorites are 275-206-9 ATS (57.2%), including 192-131-7 ATS (59.4%) as favorites of less than five points versus opponents with one or fewer days of rest. The latter situation has gone 41-20-1 ATS (67.2%) since 2021. Utah arrives off a 133-125 upset win over the Rockets as 11.5-point underdogs, which is significant in that NBA road favorites coming off an upset win as home underdogs are 130-104-6 ATS (55.6%) since 2004.
Finally, since 1998, .599 or worse road favorites of less than -12 with two or more days of rest are 124-65-5 ATS (65.6%) versus opponents playing their third game in four days, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.9 points per game.
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