Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Thursday, November 14! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors valuable information on Thursday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
East Carolina (-15) (-110) at Tulsa
Report: East Carolina has looked like a different football team since the termination of former head coach Mike Houston, going 2-0 SU and ATS against Temple and Florida Atlantic. The switch to quarterback Katin Houser, a transfer from Michigan State, has paid immediate dividends, throwing eight touchdowns in the last two games (no interceptions). East Carolina has scored 56 and 49 points, respectively, in its last games and is one win away from securing bowl eligibility. Since 1989, college football road teams are 771-585-24 ATS (56.9%) versus favorites of four points or less (or underdogs) averaging a negative margin at the half and netting the same metric coming off a game in which 60 or more combined points were scored, including 483-357-14 ATS (57.5%) since 2015, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.5 points per game.
Since 1989, college football road teams are 739-587-19 ATS (55.7%) versus opponents allowing 35.0 or more points per game entering off a contest that went over the total, including 388-291-10 ATS (57.1%) since 2017. Since 1998, college football road favorites with double revenge are 349-255-6 ATS (57.8%), including 127-77-3 ATS (62.3%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +2.8 points per game. Since 1997, conference favorites with quadruple revenge are 285-223-10 ATS (56.1%), including 84-53-3 ATS (61.3%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +3.7 points per game.
Since 2009, double-digit road favorites with revenge are 132-103-4 ATS (56.2%), including 59-43-1 ATS (57.8%) since 2019. Finally, since 1996, college football teams coming off a game in which they gained 540 or more total yards and finished with less than 25:00 minutes of possession time are 141-102-6 ATS (58%).
Dallas Mavericks (-8.5) (-110) at Utah Jazz
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five or more points are 1584-1291-61 ATS (55.1%). Since 2005, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 1549-1250-55 ATS (55.3%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off three or more consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points are 632-457-26 ATS (58%). Since 2005, NBA road favorites of greater than six points are 281-217-10 ATS (56.4%) in games with totals of more than 225 points. Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off two or more consecutive losses are 853-686-27 ATS (55.4%), including 246-171-5 ATS (59%) since 2018. Dallas falls into a very strong 274-197-9 ATS (58.2%) statistical profile indicator (turnovers) that invests on certain NBA road favorites of greater than eight points. This situation is 141-91-2 ATS (60.8%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.0 points per game.
The Mavericks are 191-124-5 ATS (60.6%) following a road loss since 2010. Finally, Utah is 41-72 ATS (36.3%) since 2012 with less than two days of rest coming off a game in which they allowed 118 or more points and did not win by more than five points, including 32-58 ATS (35.6%) since 2019, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.8 points per game.
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