Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, June 8! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
New York Mets (-1.5) (-180) at Colorado Rockies
Report: The fact that the Mets are large favorites is good news for the road squad as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2609-985 SU (72.6%; +2.4% ROI) and 1933-1454 RL (57.1%; +3.0% ROI) since 2007, including 1477-511 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 1167-822 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 761-326 SU (70%; +1.4% ROI) and 610-430 RL (58.7%; +1.5% ROI), winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2006, .501 or greater road favorites of -201 or greater are 524-196 SU (72.8%; +3.5% ROI) and 429-257 RL (62.5%; +6.3% ROI), winning by an average margin of +2.6 runs per game. New York right-hander Tylor Megill enters off an outing in which he allowed four hits in six innings of work with a 7/1 K/BB ratio, which is noteworthy in that MLB favorites of -196 or greater with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.08 or better with revenge are 625-238 SU (72.4%; +3.8% ROI) and 451-349 RL (56.4%; +4.5% ROI), including 325-112 SU (74.4%; +6% ROI) and 249-187 RL (57.1%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.2 runs per game.
Finally, Colorado right-hander Chase Dollander is coming off an outing in which he allowed three runs on two hits over 3.0 innings of work, which is noteworthy because large MLB underdogs are 350-1117 SU (23.9%; -20.1% ROI) and 549-830 RL (39.8%; -12.7% ROI) with starting pitchers coming off a non-quality start, losing by an average of -2.4 runs per game.
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) (-120)
Report: The fact that the Rays are large favorites is good news for the home squad as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2609-985 SU (72.6%; +2.4% ROI) and 1933-1454 RL (57.1%; +3.0% ROI) since 2007, including 1477-511 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 1167-822 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2507-1007 SU (71.3%; +1.2% ROI) and 1631-1365 RL (+1.6% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 936-347 SU (73%; +2.2% ROI) and 713-569 RL (55.6%; +1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Tampa Bay applies to a very good 815-328 SU (71.3%; +5.4% ROI) and 526-454 RL (+6.7% ROI) system of mine that dates to 2003 and invests on large home favorites with immediate revenge in afternoon affairs. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.7 runs per game.
Since 2004, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers coming off three consecutive outings in which they did not allow a run are 96-38 SU (71.6%; +12.1% ROI) and 59-65 RL (+5.7% ROI), including 70-26 SU (72.9%; +13% ROI) and 49-46 RL (+13.9% ROI) since 2016. Finally, since 2003, large MLB underdogs coming off a game in which they scored ten or more runs are 25-90 SU (21.7%; -27.3% ROI) and 33-65 RL (33.7%; -27.3% ROI), losing by an average of -2.4 runs per game.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-215)
Report: The fact that the Yankees are substantial favorites is good news for the Bronx Bombers as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2609-985 SU (72.6%; +2.4% ROI) and 1933-1454 RL (57.1%; +3.0% ROI) since 2007, including 1477-511 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 1167-822 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2507-1007 SU (71.3%; +1.2% ROI) and 1631-1365 RL (+1.6% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 936-347 SU (73%; +2.2% ROI) and 713-569 RL (55.6%; +1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2009, divisional home favorites of greater than -150 coming off a loss are 1288-647 SU (66.6%; +2% ROI) and 948-985 RL (+3.1% ROI), including 392-168 SU (70%; +5.3% ROI) and 299-261 RL (+8.3% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.8 runs per game.
Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2880-5130 SU (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 4091-3500 RL (-2.9% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 868-1717 SU (33.6%; -8.6% ROI) and 1293-1288 RL (-7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Finally, since 2002, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 889-2172 SU (29%; -10.6% ROI) and 1240-1438 RL (-6.5% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 312-863 SU (26.6%; -16.7% ROI) and 511-664 RL (-10.5% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game.
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