Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, March 10! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
New York Islanders (-195) at Anaheim Ducks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2024-1284 (61.2%; +3.7% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 468-269 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL favorites averaging three or more goals allowed per game are 466-308 (60.2%; +2% ROI) following two or more consecutive games in which they allowed two goals or fewer, including 151-84 (64.2%; +4.5% ROI) since 2021. Since 2003, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 707-384 (64.8%; +9.7% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest.
Since 2008, NHL road favorites with more rest are 444-249 (64.1%; +6.7% ROI) versus opponents coming off a loss, including 145-60 (70.7%; +11% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.1 goals per game.
Arizona Coyotes (-190) at Chicago Blackhawks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 608-328 (65%; +10.5% ROI). Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2024-1284 (61.2%; +3.7% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 468-269 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2004, .499 or worse underdogs with no rest coming off a road game are 579-1077 (35%; -10.9% ROI), including 82-233 (26%; -27.8% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average margin of -1.3 goals per game. Since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1241-2027 (38%; -6.2% ROI), including 251-544 (31.6%; -16.1% ROI) since 2020.
Finally, since 2003, home underdogs versus teams with revenge entering off a game against .499 or worse opposition are 185-312 (37.2%; -17.5% ROI), including 42-109 (27.8%; -37.1% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.3 goals per game.
Milwaukee Bucks (-5) (-110) over Los Angeles Clippers
Report: Since 2003, single-digit road favorites coming off a loss as favorites on no more than a two-game ATS losing streak are 634-477-27 ATS (57.1%), including 171-125-12 ATS (57.7%) since 2019. Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off an upset road loss as favorites of four points or less are 657-522-21 ATS (55.2%). Since 1989, rested NBA road favorites from Game 28 out are 403-305-10 ATS (56.9%) versus rested opponents. Since 2012, rested road favorites of -10 or less coming off a loss are 113-89-3 ATS (55.9%) versus unrested opponents, including 40-24-1 ATS (66.7%) since 2021. Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -2 to -5 in games with totals between 210 and 235 points are 414-318-16 ATS (56.6%) in the second half of the regular season.
Finally, since 2016, unrested non-conference home teams in games with totals of less than 239 points are 70-94-4 ATS (42.7%) if the point spread is greater than their previous game, including 42-65-2 ATS (39.3%) since 2020, losing by an average of -5.8 points per game.
Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks UNDER 211.5 points
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1076-850-70 to the Under (55.9%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 563-394-36 to the Under (58.8%) with totals of less than 218 points. The under falls into very profitable 612-481-41 (56%) and 183-142-14 (56.3%) NBA totals systems of mine that date to 2011.
Finally, both teams rank in the top 15 in defensive efficiency while ranking in the bottom half of the league in pace.
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