Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, February 25! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Oklahoma City Thunder (-6.5) (-110) at Houston Rockets
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1505-1225-56 ATS (55.1%), including 647-520-27 ATS (55.4%) since 2018. This situation improves to 596-429-25 ATS (58.1%) if the road favorite scored 105-plus points in three or more consecutive games, winning by an average margin of +8.7 points per game. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of greater than 225 points are 258-192-9 ATS (57.3%), winning by an average margin of +10.02 points per game. Since 2001, conference road favorites of greater than four points with revenge are 333-259-8 ATS (56.2%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points with revenge are 192-149-7 ATS (56.3%) versus opponents coming off a home win, including 85-56-3 ATS (60.3%) since 2016.
Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 771-1006-37 ATS (43.4%) versus .749 or worse opponents. Lay the points with Oklahoma City as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, February 25.
Charlotte Hornets at Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 214.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1052-831-70 to the Under (55.9%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 549-381-36 to the Under (59%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 1995, NBA games with totals of less than 216 points are 545-372-25 to the Under (59.4%) if both teams have combined to average at least 430 points in each of their last three games, going under by an average of 2.8 points per game.
Finally, the under falls into very good 572-439-36 (56.6%) and 267-197-18 (57.5%) NBA totals systems of mine that invest on the under in certain games with road teams coming off a game that went under the total. The latter situation is 176-110-11 UNDER (61.5%) since 2014.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Washington Wizards OVER 234.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2012, .501 or greater road favorites of more than two points that score fewer points per game than the league average are 288-229-21 to the Over (55.7%) from Game 20 out, including 149-97-8 OVER (60.6%) since 2019, going over by an average margin of +3.0 points per game. Since 1989, NBA road favorites of greater than five points coming off a loss in games with totals of more than 220 points are 167-130-12 to the Over (56.2%), including 159-123-11 OVER (56.4%) since 2015. Since 1989, NBA road favorites of greater than five points coming off a loss in games with totals of more than 220 points are 167-130-12 to the Over (56.2%), covering the total by an average margin of +2.2 points per game in that span.
Finally, NBA road favorites of at least 7.5 points are 105-73-7 to the Over (59%) in games with totals of 230 or more points, including 103-70-7 OVER (59.5%) since 2015, going over by an average margin of +5.3 points per game.
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