Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, December 1! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings UNDER 45 points
Report: Since 1991, NFL teams coming off an upset road loss by ten or more points are 194-117-5 to the Under (62.4%) from Week 4 out, including 55-22 UNDER (71.4%) since 2017, covering the total by an average margin of -4.2 points per game. Since 2005, NFL teams coming off a road overtime affair decided by three points or less are 113-82-4 to the Under, including 44-20-2 UNDER (68.8%) since 2018, covering the total by an average of -3.3 points per game. Since 2012, .501 or greater teams coming off a loss in which they scored fewer than fourteen points are 123-93-6 to the Under (56.9%), including 74-48-5 UNDER (60.7%) since 2017. Since 2015, NFL teams playing two or more consecutive road games are 403-318-19 to the Under (55.9%). Since 1998, NFC West (excluding Seattle) favorites of -1 or as underdogs are 103-78-4 to the Under (56.9%) versus opponents they played on the road in the previous meeting, including 25-11-1 UNDER (69.4%) since 2018, going under by an average of -5.4 points per game.
The Vikings are 39-24-1 to the Under (61.9%) following a game as road favorites since 2000, including 22-12 UNDER (64.7%) since 2015. Finally, since 1995, the Vikings are 33-24 to the Under following a road game in which they scored 29 or more points, including 15-3 UNDER (83.3%) since 2015, going under by an average of -5.4 points per game.
Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) (-115) over Minnesota Vikings
Report: Since 1992, NFL road underdogs of less than seven points that won fewer than seven games the previous season are 606-477-36 ATS (56%), including 113-76-7 ATS (59.8%) since 2019. The foregoing situation improves to 399-298-20 ATS (57.2%) in games with totals of 50 points or less and to 298-194-12 ATS (60.6%) in games involving road underdogs that won fewer than five games the previous season. The latter subset angle is 86-45-5 ATS (65.6%) since 2017, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.2 points per game. Since 1992, NFL road teams are 82-41-5 ATS (66.7%) versus .501 or greater opponents coming off a win by three points or less, including 22-8-1 ATS (73.3%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +3.3 points per game. Since 2002, NFL teams are 238-192-7 ATS (55.3%) versus .800 or greater opponents from Week 12 out, including 79-59-3 ATS (57.2%) since 2017.
Since 2002, NFL teams covering the spread by an average of 5.0 or more points per game are 367-454-21 ATS (44.7%) versus .600 or worse opponents from Week 5 forward. Since 2011, NFL teams coming off an overtime win are 87-109-6 ATS (44.4%), including 45-61-2 ATS (42.5%) since 2016. Finally, since 1993, NFL teams that have allowed no more than 60 rushing yards per game on average in their last three games are 181-231-18 ATS (43.9%).
Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets UNDER 42 points
Report: Since 1989, NFL games with wind speeds of greater than 8 mph and temperatures of at least 30 degrees are 916-709-36 to the Under (56.4%), including 424-278-14 UNDER (60.4%) since 2018, covering the total by an average margin of -2.0 points per game. Since 2014, NFL home underdogs of less than four points are 160-118-8 to the Under (57.6%) in games with totals of 45 points or less, including 87-43-3 UNDER (66.9%) since 2020, going under by an average of -2.2 points per game. Since 1998, Pacific time zone road favorites are 70-50-3 to the Under (58.3%) versus Eastern time zone opponents, including 62.1% UNDER since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Since 1993, NFL teams coming off a bye week are 74-55 to the Under (57.4%) if they suffered an upset loss the week prior to their bye, including 18-6 UNDER (75%) since 2016, going under by an average of -4.0 points per game. Since 2021, NFL road favorites are 217-160-7 to the Under (57.6%). Since 2014, non-conference road favorites in games with totals of less than 45 points are 62-39-3 to the Under (61.4%) in Games 1-14, including 37-18-1 UNDER (67.3%) since 2020, going under by an average of -4.0 points per game. Since 2021, NFL road favorites of less than seven points are 94-65-3 to the Under (59.1%) following a straight-up win.
Since 2011, NFL road favorites of -1.5 to -3.5 points in games with totals of 40 to 44 points are 112-84-7 to the Under (57.1%), including 44-15-2 UNDER (74.6%) since 2020, going under by an average of -2.9 points per game. Since 2017, NFL teams coming off back-to-back upset wins as underdogs are 62-47-3 to the Under (56.9%), including 37-19-1 UNDER (66.1%) since 2021. Finally, the Jets are 13-2 to the Under (86.7%) as underdogs following a loss in which they did not commit a turnover since 2000, covering the total by an average of -8.0 points per game.
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