Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Saturday, March 9! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Dallas Mavericks (-7.5) (-110) at Detroit Pistons
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1515-1232-56 ATS (55.2%), including 657-527-27 ATS (55.6%) since 2018. This situation contains 603-431 ATS (58.3%) and 576-412 ATS (58.3%) subset angles that date to 1989 and invest on road favorites that scored 105 or more points in three-plus consecutive games. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of -6.5 or greater in games with totals of more than 225 points are 261-195-9 ATS (57.2%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off a win that snapped a two-plus game losing streak are 200-142-7 ATS (58.5%), including 64-43-1 ATS (59.8%) since 2018.
Since 1989, NBA home teams coming off a home win in which they allowed 17 or more three-pointers are 86-116-3 ATS (42.6%). Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 777-1017-37 ATS (43.3%) versus .749 or worse opponents.
Toronto Raptors (-2.5) (-110) at Portland Trail Blazers
Report: Since 1989, rested NBA road favorites from Game 28 out are 403-303-10 ATS (57.1%) versus rested opponents. Since 2012, rested road favorites of -10 or less coming off a loss are 113-87-3 ATS (56.5%) versus unrested opponents, including 54-33-1 ATS (62.1%) since 2020. Since 1993, NBA road favorites with revenge for an upset loss as favorites of less than two points are 156-107-6 ATS (59.3%) in games with totals between 223 and 237 points and 133-95-6 ATS (58.3%) as favorites of fewer than three points. Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -2 to -5 in games with totals between 210 and 235 points are 414-317-16 ATS (56.6%) in the second half of the regular season.
Finally, since 1989, NBA road underdogs allowing 103 or more points per game coming off two or more consecutive games in which they trailed by double-digits at the half are 288-218-5 ATS (56.9%).
Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets UNDER 207.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 1995, NBA games with totals of less than 216 points are 554-379-25 to the Under (59.4%) if both teams have combined to average at least 430 points in each of their last three games, going under by an average of 2.8 points per game. This situation contains a very good 262-151-12 (63.4%) subset angle involving games with totals of less than 213 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1075-849-70 to the Under (55.9%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 563-393-36 to the Under (59.1%) with totals of less than 218 points.
Finally, since 1994, conference underdogs are 56-26-3 to the Under (68.3%) versus opponents averaging 110.5 or more points per game if the previous meeting went over the total by eight or more points, including 52-20-2 UNDER (71.2%) since 2018.
Bonus College Basketball Betting Trends for Saturday
- Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win or a double-digit ATS loss are 807-1187-27 ATS (40.5%), including 177-305-6 ATS (36.7%) since 2021. These overvalued squads have fallen short of market expectations by an average margin of -3.62 points per game since 2020
- .Since 2005, college basketball favorites that are ranked better than their opponents are 226-180-12 ATS (55.7%), including 99-75-3 ATS (56.9%) since 2019
- Conference home teams ranked outside the Top 7 are 108-86-7 ATS (55.7%) versus Top 25 opponents in Saturday affairs, including 53-33-2 ATS (61.6%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.1 points per game.
Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks, NBA Predictions and NCAA Basketball Predictions throughout the 2023-24 basketball seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.
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