Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Saturday, November 2! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Wisconsin (+3) (-110) at Iowa
Report: Since 1989, college football underdogs of six points or less with revenge for an upset loss from the previous season are 256-156-14 ATS (62.1%), covering the spread by an average margin of +3.0 points per game. Since 1991, unranked road underdogs averaging 125 or more rushing yards per game with totals of 47 points or less are 444-323-22 ATS (57.9%), covering the spread by an average of +2.1 points per game. Since 1989, Big Ten Conference road teams in games with totals of 45 points are less are 108-58-6 ATS (65.1%) versus unranked opponents that missed the playoffs the previous season, including 61-27-3 ATS (69.3%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +4.6 points per game. Since 1989, conference road underdogs of fewer than 25 points in games with totals of less than 46 points are 191-127-10 ATS (60.1%) versus opponents coming off an ATS win from Week 7 forward, including 97-54-6 ATS (64.2%) since 2016.
Since 2018, college football teams on short rest coming off a game against a top-5 opponent are 158-127-5 ATS (55.4%), including 75-45-1 ATS (62.5%) since 2022, exceeding market expectations by an average of +2.5 points per game. Finally, since 2020, college football underdogs are 491-364-13 ATS (57.4%) versus opponents coming off a game in which they attempted sixteen or more third downs, provided they don’t have same-season revenge. This situation is 174-120-3 ATS (59.2%) since 2023, covering the spread by an average of +3.0 points per game.
Army at Air Force UNDER 41 points (-110)
Report: Since 2002, college football teams in games with totals that are seven or more points less than the totals in each of their previous two games are 982-718-35 to the Under (57.8%). Since 1989, college football teams coming off a game as favorites in which they had a time of possession of greater than 22:00 minutes and less than 30:00 minutes are 564-435-23 to the Under (56.5%). Since 1989, college football favorites of more than three points (and less than 40) entering off a game as favorites of fourteen or more points in which they had 37:00 or more minutes of possession time are 150-102-6 to the Under (59.5%), covering the total by an average margin of -2.2 points per game.
Since 2003, games between Military Academies are 43-11-1 to the Under (79.6%), including 15-3-1 UNDER (83.3%) since 2018, going under by an average of -7.5 points per game. Since 2012, games between Military Academies with totals of 40 or more points are 40-8-2 to the Under (83.3%), covering the total by an average of -8.8 points per game. Finally, the Under is 11-0 in the past eleven meetings in this rivalry.
UCLA (+7) (-110) at Nebraska
Report: Since 1989, conference underdogs of +6 to +24 points in games with totals of 37 to 46 points are 306-191-13 ATS (61.6%) in Weeks 1-12, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.2 points per game. Since 1989, conference road underdogs of fewer than 25 points in games with totals of less than 46 points are 191-127-10 ATS (60.1%) versus opponents coming off an ATS win from Week 7 forward, including 97-54-6 ATS (64.2%) since 2016. Since 2007, college football road underdogs of less than thirteen points with revenge are 338-229-12 ATS (59.6%) from Week 3 forward. Since 1998, conference road underdogs of seven or more points in games with totals of 48 points or less are 478-359-24 ATS (57.1%). Since 1990, conference road underdogs with more rest are 286-225-9 ATS (56%) versus opponents coming off a game as underdogs, including 84-62-4 ATS (57.5%) since 2018.
Since 1989, Big Ten Conference road teams in games with totals of 45 points are less are 108-58-6 ATS (65.1%) versus unranked opponents that missed the playoffs the previous season, including 61-27-3 ATS (69.3%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +4.6 points per game. Finally, since 2020, college football underdogs are 491-364-13 ATS (57.4%) versus opponents coming off a game in which they attempted sixteen or more third downs, provided they don’t have same-season revenge. This situation is 174-120-3 ATS (59.2%) since 2023, covering the spread by an average of +3.0 points per game.
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