Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report and Free Picks for Sunday, December 31! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Green Bay Packers (+1) (-110) at Minnesota Vikings
Report: Since 1999, primetime (non-Thursday) NFL road underdogs of six points or less coming off a game in which they had 66 or more rushing yards and 166 or more passing yards are 94-56-7 ATS (62.7%) versus opponents within three wins in the win column, including 36-20-2 ATS (64.3%) since 2018. Since 1992, conference road teams coming off a road game in which they scored 24-plus points are 136-84-2 ATS (61.8%) if they allowed 24 or more points two games prior. Since 1989, NFL road underdogs of less than 3.5 points in primetime affairs are 28-4-1 ATS (87.5%) provided one additional parameter is satisfied, covering the spread by an average margin of +8.12 points per game.
Green Bay is 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS in its last 21 primetime games and 18-10 ATS versus divisional foes since 2019, including 5-1 ATS in its last six as divisional road underdogs. Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur is 19-10 ATS as an underdog and 20-14 ATS in primetime affairs. The Packers are 23-12-1 ATS in their last 36 Sunday Night appearances, including 11-2-1 ATS versus opponents coming off a SU and ATS loss. Minnesota is 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS in its last fifteen rematch affairs and 12-21 ATS at home since 2020, including 2-8 ATS in its last ten at home.
Since 2008, NFC favorites of -2 or less are 54-84-4 ATS (39.1%) versus opponents not from the NFC East, including 9-29 ATS (23.7%) since 2019, failing to cover the spread by an average of -4.6 points per game. Since 2001, NFL home teams in same-season rematches are 47-73-3 ATS (39.2%) if the total is greater than the total in the previous meeting and the last meeting went under the total by six or more points. This situation is 9-20-1 ATS (31%) since 2017.
Finally, Sunday Night Football teams coming off a loss are just 12-17 SU and 11-17-1 ATS, including 9-20 SU and ATS versus teams entering off a win. Take Green Bay and invest with confidence.
New Orleans Saints (+2.5) (-110) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Report: Since 2019, NFL division underdogs of greater than two points that are coming off a loss by two or more points are 125-103-6 ATS (54.8%), including 52-28-2 ATS (65%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Since 1989, NFL road teams coming off a road loss in which they had fewer rushing and passing yards are 163-122-7 ATS (57.2%). New Orleans applies to a very good 150-91-6 ATS (62.2%) Week 17 situation of mine that has covered the spread by an average margin of +2.12 points per game since 1989.
Since 1989, .501 or greater NFL teams coming off an upset win as home underdogs are 134-191-9 ATS (41.2%) in their next game. New Orleans is 12-3 SU and ATS in its last fifteen rematch affairs and 15-1 ATS in its last sixteen road rematch games. Finally, the Saints are 11-1 ATS in their last twelve games with revenge.
Boston Celtics at San Antonio Spurs OVER 240.5 points
Report: Since 1997, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off a game that went over the total are 238-132-15 to the Over (64.3%) in games with totals of more than 210 points if the total is greater than their previous game, covering the total by an average margin of +5.1 points per game. This situation improves to 64-28-1 to the Over (69.6%) in games with totals of at least 230 points, covering the total by an average of +7.43 points per game since 1997. Since 1999, NBA road favorites of 7.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 230 points are 98-56-6 to the Over (63.6%), including 77-39-3 OVER (66.4%) since 2019, covering the total by an average of +7.53 points per game in that span.
Since 2011, Eastern Conference road favorites of four or more points coming off a win are 123-88-7 to the Over (58.3%) versus non-conference opponents, including 70-42-3 OVER (62.5%) since 2020, going over by an average of +5.22 points per game. Finally, double-digit non-conference underdogs are 228-183-16 to the Over (55.5%) since 2017, including 154-114-6 UNDER (57.5%) since 2019. Take the over and invest with confidence.
Oskeim Sports gives free NFL Picks and NFL Predictions throughout the 2023-24 NFL season. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NFL odds, totals and free picks.
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