Oskeim’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, 2/5

Feb 5, 2024

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report and Free Picks for Monday, February 5!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Monday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Los Angeles Lakers (-10.5) (-110) at Charlotte Hornets

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1494-1214-56 ATS (55.2%), including 636-509-26 ATS (55.5%) since 2018. This situation contains a profitable 587-423-24 ATS (58.1%) subset angle that involves teams coming off a loss in games with totals of greater than 220 points. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of greater than 225 points are 257-187-9 ATS (57.9%), winning by an average margin of +10.13 points per game. Since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 764-998-37 ATS (43.4%) versus .749 or worse opponents.

Since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, unrested NBA teams that made eight or fewer three-pointers in their previous game are 62-96-7 ATS (39.2%), including 37-60-3 ATS (38.1%) since 2022, failing to cover the spread by an average of -2.3 points per game. For those bettors who like the home underdog in this game, consider that double-digit non-conference favorites are just 76-105-2 ATS (42%) since 2021, including 41-66-2 ATS (38.3%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Let’s also note that the Lakers are 17-24 SU and 12-29 ATS (29.3%) since April 1, 2019, coming off a win as underdogs provided they are not double-digit underdogs.

Toronto Raptors at New Orleans Pelicans OVER 231 points (-110)

Report: Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 540-451-28 to the Over (55%), covering the total by an average margin of +2.0 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 326-250-20 to the Over (56.6%), including 308-232-18 OVER (57%) since 2015. Since 2019, NBA home favorites coming off a game that went under the total in contests with totals of 222-231 points are 345-270-16 to the Over (56.1%), including 226-165-2 OVER (57.8%) since 2021, going over by an average of +2.8 points per game.

Since 2017, double-digit non-conference underdogs are 245-202-18 to the Over (55%), including 171-133-8 OVER (56.2%) since 2019. The over falls into a profitable 252-218-18 NBA totals system of mine that has covered the total by an average of +2.5 points per game since 2015. For those bettors who like the under in this game, consider that NBA home teams with two days of rest are 251-190-18 to the Under (56.9%) versus opponents playing their fourth consecutive road game since 2006, including 72-44-6 UNDER (62.1%) since 2019, going under by an average of -2.5 points per game.

Los Angeles Clippers at Atlanta Hawks OVER 244 points (-110)

Report: Since 2000, non-conference home underdogs coming off a game in which they scored 120 or more points are 149-114-9 to the Over (56.7%), covering the total by an average margin of +2.61 points per game. The over applies to a very strong 223-167-16 (57.2%) NBA statistical profile indicator of mine that invests on the over in certain games involving teams coming off a win during the regular season. This situation is 150-110-10 to the Over (57.7%) since 2016.

The Hawks are 16-3 to the Over (84.2%) since 2019 in games with totals of fewer than 245 points when coming off a contest in which they scored at least 133 points, covering the total by an average of +13.13 points per game in that span. Finally, the over falls into a profitable 252-218-18 NBA totals system of mine that has covered the total by an average of +2.5 points per game since 2015.

Bonus NHL Betting Trends for Monday, February 5

  • Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 580-381 (60.4%), including 163-79 (67.4%) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +0.9 goals per game
  • Since 2003, NHL favorites allowing an average of three-plus goals per game coming off two or more consecutive games in which they allowed two or fewer goals are 453-295 (60.6%), including 139-71 (66.2%) since 2021, winning by an average of +0.83 goals per game.

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