Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, February 26! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings OVER 224.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2007, NBA games between well-rested teams are 334-270-15 to the Over (55.3%) with totals between 220 and 229 points, including 266-212-6 OVER (55.6%) since 2018, covering the total by an average of +2.33 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 551-465-28 to the Over (54.2%), covering the total by an average margin of +1.7 points per game. The over applies to a very good 227-175-16 (56.5%) NBA totals system that invests on the over in certain games involving teams coming off a win during the regular season. This situation is 154-118-10 OVER (56.6%) since 2012.
Finally, since 2019, NBA home favorites coming off a game that went under the total are 347-278-16 to the Over (55.5%) in games with totals of 222 to 231 points, including 178-135-12 OVER (56.9%) since 2013.
Boston Bruins (-140) at Seattle Kraken
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 604-326 (64.9%; +10.4% ROI). Since 2003, NHL road favorites of less than -200 with same-season revenge for a home upset loss are 538-279 (65.9%; +15.1% ROI), including 272-134 (67%; +16.7% ROI) since 2016, winning by an average of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -150 or less coming off a loss as underdogs are 373-251 (59.8%; +7.9% ROI), including 122-81 (60.1%; +8.5% ROI) since 2019. Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2250-1485 (60.2%; +5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents.
Since 2003, NHL home underdogs coming off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1054-1497 (41.3%; -6.2% ROI), including 264-457 (36.6%; -13% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.8 goals per game. Finally, the Bruins are 126-84 (60%; +8.2% ROI) since 2012 as road favorites of -150 or less, including 57-31 (64.8%; +15.2% ROI) since 2019.
Ottawa Senators (-116) at Washington Capitals
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2010-1276 (61.2%; +3.8% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 459-264 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 585-385 (60.3%; +4.5% ROI), including 168-83 (66.9%; +10.7% ROI) since 2020. Since 2008, NHL road favorites coming off a game as favorites are 719-416 (63.3%; +8.9% ROI) versus .401 or greater opposition from Game 24 out provided they have a road game on deck. Since 2004, NHL road teams priced between -110 and -120 are 472-216 (68.6%; +29.7% ROI) versus opponents priced between -101 and -110, winning by an average margin of +0.74 goals per game.
Finally, since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2250-1485 (60.2%; +5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents.
Bonus Betting Systems Active Tuesday, February 27
- Since 2003, .499 or worse underdogs with no rest are 575-1070 (35%; -11% ROI) coming off a road game, including 78-226 (25.7%; -29% ROI) since 2020
- Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off either an ATS win or a double-digit ATS loss are 794-1182-27 ATS (40.2%), including 164-300-6 ATS (35.3%) since 2021.
Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks, NBA Predictions and NCAA Basketball Predictions throughout the 2023-24 basketball seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.
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