Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, September 13! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Arizona at Kansas State (-7) (-110)
Report: Since 2020, ranked college football home teams are 92-65-5 ATS (58.6%) versus ranked opponents, including 51-33-3 ATS (60.7%) since 2022, covering the spread by an average of +3.0 points per game. Since 1998, Top 25 college football home favorites are 115-85-8 ATS (57.5%) versus ranked opponents entering off a win, provided the opponent has more wins on the season. This situation is 42-20-4 ATS (67.7%) since 2018, winning by an average of +11.9 points per game and covering by an average of +4.3 points per game. Since 1990, ranked college football home favorites of less than three points in games with totals of greater than 45 points are 183-126-9 ATS (59.2%) versus ranked opponents, including 57-37-4 ATS (60.6%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +3.0 points per game. Since 1998, ranked home favorites priced between -3 and -30 are 241-179-12 ATS (57.4%) versus ranked opponents in regular season affairs, including 88-55-7 ATS (61.5%) since 2017, covering the spread by an average of +3.2 points per game.
Since 1989, better ranked home favorites of less than ten points are 117-74-9 ATS (61.3%), including 41-22-6 ATS (65.1%) since 2016. Finally, the Wildcats are 12-3-2 ATS (80%) since November 30, 2019, when they are not more than six-point underdogs following a game in which they allowed 25 or more points, winning by an average of +11.2 points per game and covering by an average of +7.0 points per game.
UNLV (+9) (-110) at Kansas
Report: Since 1990, undefeated college football teams coming off a game in which they had two or more fumbles are 429-199 SU (68.3%) and 343-275-10 ATS (55.5%) versus opponents that committed 40 or more penalty yards in their previous meeting, including 93-58-2 ATS (61.6%) since 2017, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.1 points per game. Since 2015, college football teams averaging 43.5 or more rushing attempts per game that have had an average line of -13 or greater are 231-181-10 ATS (56.1%) in Weeks 1-4 of the regular season, including 50-24 SU (67.6%) and 56.3% ATS since 2022. Since 2009, college football road underdogs of +3.5 to +10 coming off a game in which they had 525 or more total yards of offense are 159-133-6 ATS (55%). Since 2010, college football road underdogs of four point or more coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed seventeen points or less are 66-38-4 ATS (63.5%) versus opponents with a worse win percentage, covering the spread by an average of +2.5 points per game.
However, Kansas finds support in an 81-52-3 ATS (60.9%) situation that invests on home favorites of less than five points (or underdogs) coming off a loss in games with totals of greater than 45 points. This situation is 35-17 ATS (67.3%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +4.7 points per game. Kansas head coach Lance Leopold is 9-1 ATS following an upset loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home. Finally, Leopold is 31-11-1 ATS at home, including 9-1-1 ATS versus opponents entering off a win by 20 or more points.
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