
Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, April 25! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers (-200)
Report: Los Angeles applies to a very good 1586-661 SU (70.6%; +2.3% ROI) and 989-874 RL (+3.1% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential System of mine that is 604-230 SU (72.4%; +4.8% ROI) and 460-370 RL (55.4%; +5.0% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1441-608 SU (70.3%; +1.1% ROI) and 1037-835 RL (55.4%; +3.3% ROI), including 739-293 SU (71.6%; +2.2% ROI) and 591-439 RL (57.4%; +4.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB favorites coming off a loss in which they used seven or more pitchers are 558-348 SU (61.6%; +4.0% ROI) and 416-486 RL (+2.7% ROI), winning by an average of +1.1 runs per game. Since 2004, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers coming off three consecutive outings in which they allowed no runs are 95-37 SU (72%; +12.8% ROI) and +5.4% ROI RL, including 18-5 SU (78.3%; +16.1% ROI) and 13-9 RL (+12.8% ROI) versus opponents with win percentages below .400.
Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2842-5065 SU (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 4034-3454 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 830-1652 SU (33.4%; -8.8% ROI) and 1236-1242 RL (-7.4% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Finally, since 2001, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 293-572 SU (33.9%; -11.4% ROI) in games with totals of seven runs or less versus .551 or greater opponents, including 63-141 SU (30.9%; -19.0 ROI) and -9.1% ROI RL since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Miami Marlins at Seattle Mariners (-1.5) (-115)
Report: Seattle applies to a very good 1586-661 SU (70.6%; +2.3% ROI) and 989-874 RL (+3.1% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential System of mine that is 604-230 SU (72.4%; +4.8% ROI) and 460-370 RL (55.4%; +5.0% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1441-608 SU (70.3%; +1.1% ROI) and 1037-835 RL (55.4%; +3.3% ROI), including 739-293 SU (71.6%; +2.2% ROI) and 591-439 RL (57.4%; +4.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB underdogs of greater than +200 with starting pitchers coming off a non-quality start are 343-1085 SU (24%; -19.6% ROI) and 537-803 RL (40.1%; -12.2% ROI), losing by an average of -2.4 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2842-5065 SU (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 4034-3454 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 830-1652 SU (33.4%; -8.8% ROI) and 1236-1242 RL (-7.4% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Finally, since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 876-2133 SU (29.1%; -10.4% ROI) and 1216-1410 RL (-6.5% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 299-824 SU (26.6%; -16.4% ROI) and 487-636 RL (43.4%; -10.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game.
Washington Capitals at Montreal Canadiens (-120)
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3007-1997 (60.1%; +3.4% ROI). Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of -180 or less with more rest than their opponent are 1259-840 (60%; +5.5% ROI) in games with totals of less than six goals. Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2509-1693 (59.7%; +3.7% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, NHL favorites coming off a win as home favorites in which they allowed less than three goals are 1480-850 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI), including 235-123 (65.6%; +1.3% ROI) since 2022, winning by an average of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2002, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off a home win and two or more consecutive home games are 446-250 (64.1%; +10.3% ROI) versus opponents with the same or worse win percentage in games with totals of greater than five goals, including 185-96 (65.8%; +11.6% ROI) since 2020. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off back-to-back unders are 398-246 (61.8%; +6.7% ROI) if they won their last game.
Since 2004, NHL home underdogs coming off a road loss as underdogs from Game 60 out are 137-239 (36.4%; -14.2% ROI) versus opponents entering off a win, including 33-79 (29.5%; -26% ROI) since 2020. Finally, since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1366-2227 (38%; -5.9% ROI) and -3.3% ROI PL, including 377-747 (33.5%; -12.2% ROI) and -6.3% PL since 2020.
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