Oskeim’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, 3/1

Mar 1, 2024

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, March 1!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons OVER 221.5 points (-110)

Report: Since 1997, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off a game that went over the total are 242-144-15 to the Over (62.7%) in games with totals of greater than 210 points if the total is greater than their previous game, including 191-113-14 OVER (62.8%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of +4.5 points per game. This situation contains a very strong 158-98-10 (61.7%) subset angle involving games with totals of greater than 220 points.

Since 2012, .501 or greater road favorites of more than two points that score fewer points per game than the league average are 289-231-21 to the Over (55.6%) from Game 20 out, including 150-99-8 OVER (60.2%) since 2019, going over by an average margin of +3.0 points per game.  Since 1989, NBA road favorites of greater than five points coming off a loss in games with totals of more than 220 points are 167-132-12 to the Over (55.9%), including 159-125-11 OVER (56%) since 2015, going over by an average of +2.1 points per game.

However, since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1061-834-70 to the Under (56%) with totals of less than 223 points. Finally, the Cavaliers are 12-0 to the Under since February 8, 2018, coming off an upset loss as favorites of more than five points, covering the total by an average of -18.96 points per game.

Washington Wizards at Los Angeles Clippers OVER 229.5 points (-110)

Report: Since 1989, unrested non-conference NBA teams coming off a game in which they scored 130 or more points are 69-38-4 to the Over (64.5%), covering the total by an average margin of +5.73 points per game. Since 2013, unrested NBA teams coming off a road overtime game are 83-58-4 to the Over (58.9%) from Game 5 out, including 33-12-1 OVER (73.3%) since 2019, going over by an average of +7.5 points per game. Since 2007, the Wizards are 20-2 to the Over (90.9%) as double-digit underdogs versus opponents averaging 117 or more points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 552-471-28 to the Over (54%), covering the total by an average margin of +1.6 points per game.

Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 335-265-20 to the Over (55.8%), including 317-247-18 OVER (56.2%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of +2.2 points per game. Finally, double-digit non-conference underdogs are 254-208-19 to the Over (55%).

Cleveland Cavaliers (-9) (-110) at Detroit Pistons

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1510-1228-56 ATS (55.2%), including 647-520-27 ATS (55.4%) since 2018. This situation improves to 599-430-25 ATS (58.1%) if the road favorite scored 105-plus points in three or more consecutive games, winning by an average margin of +8.7 points per game. Since 2014, NBA road favorites of greater than three points averaging fewer points per game than the league average are 302-225 ATS (57.3%) from Game 28 out, including 57.9% ATS since 2020. Since 2003, NBA home underdogs coming off a win as road underdogs are 89-130-6 ATS (40.6%) in games with totals of at least 205 points. Since 1995, .399 or worse NBA teams coming off a win that are averaging over 200 combined points per game on the season are 400-487-17 ATS (45.1%) from Game 50 out.

The Pistons are 1-14-1 ATS since January 20, 2020, when they are not an eleven-plus point underdog and are coming off a game in which they covered the spread by 18 or more points.  Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 774-1012-37 ATS (43.3%) versus .749 or worse.

Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks, NBA Predictions and NCAA Basketball Predictions throughout the 2023-24 basketball seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.

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