Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report and Free Picks for Friday, February 9! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics OVER 236 points (-110)
Report: Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 543-453-28 to the Over (55%), covering the total by an average margin of +1.8 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 328-251-20 to the Over (56.6%), including 310-233-18 OVER (57.1%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of +2.6 points per game. Since 2015, non-division conference games with double-digit point spreads are 417-341-29 to the Over (55%), including 213-158-9 OVER (57.4%) since 2019.
Finally, the Wizards are 17-0 to the Over since 2007 as double-digit underdogs versus opponents that are averaging greater than 117 points per game, covering the total by an average of +21.12 points per game.
Edmonton Oilers (-1.5) (-115) at Anaheim Ducks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 1993-1267 (61.1%; +3.7% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 442-255 (63.4%; +2.6% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2014, .600 or greater favorites of -170 or greater are 478-221 (68.4%) from Game 41 out, including 267-116 (69.7%) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.2 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites of -140 or greater are 667-339 (66.3%; +4.4% ROI) versus opponents coming off a win, including 364-176 (67.4%) since 2017.
Since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are 350-496 (41.4%; -6.2% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 117-189 (38.2%; -12.2% ROI) since 2018. Finally, since 2015, NHL road teams coming off six or more consecutive unders are 36-24 (60%; +17.9% ROI) versus opponents entering off one or more straight unders.
Pittsburgh Penguins (-123) at Minnesota Wild
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 1993-1267 (61.1%; +3.7% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 442-255 (63.4%; +2.6% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. This situation contains a 708-411 (63.3%; +8.8% ROI) subset angle that is 629-354 (64%; +10% ROI) since 2012. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 581-383 (60.3%; +4.5% ROI), including 164-81 (66.9%; +10.5% ROI) since 2020. Since 2004, NHL road favorites of -175 or less coming off a win that went under the total are 149-74 (66.8%; +17.2% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game that went under the total in games with totals of six or more goals, including 90-43 (67.7%; +17.4% ROI) since 2019.
Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off three or more consecutive road games are 264-170 (60.8%; +3% ROI) from Game 41 out, including 116-66 (63.7%; +4.1% ROI) since 2017. Finally, since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2228-1469 (60.3%; +5.1% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents.
Bonus Super Bowl Betting Trends for Sunday, February 11
- The straight-up winner is 47-7-3 ATS (87%) in the last 57 Super Bowls
- 18 of the last 20 Super Bowls have been decided by 14 points or less. Only 15 of the 57 Super Bowls have been decided by one possession (8 or fewer points)
- In the 55 Super Bowls that have had posted totals, there have been 28 Overs, 27 Unders, and 1 push
- Since 1990, No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl are 15-19 SU and 12-20-2 ATS, including 7-11 SU and 4-12-2 ATS versus non-No. 1 seeds
- Since 1980, NFL teams coming off an ATS loss in the conference championship game are 3-8 SU and 2-8-1 ATS in the Super Bowl
- Teams coming off an outright underdog win in the conference championship game are 19-7-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.
Oskeim Sports gives free NFL Picks and NFL Predictions throughout the 2023-24 NFL season. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NFL odds, totals and free picks.
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