Oskeim’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, 2/2

Feb 2, 2024

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report and Free Picks for Friday, February 2!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Charlotte Hornets at Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 226 points (-110)

Report: Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 539-451-28 to the Over (55%), covering the total by an average margin of +2.0 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 326-250-20 to the Over (56.6%), including 308-232-18 OVER (57%) since 2015. Since 1991, .499 or worse NBA teams are 577-466-44 to the Over (55.3%) versus .550 or greater opponents in games with totals between 220 and 230 points.

Since 2019, NBA home favorites coming off a game that went under the total are 344-269-16 to the Over (56.1%) in games with totals of 222 to 231 points, including 225-164-2 OVER (57.8%) since 2021, covering the total by an average margin of +2.82 points per game in that span.  Finally, since 2018, double-digit non-conference underdogs are 208-164-13 to the Over (55.9%), covering the total by an average of +2.43 points per game.

New Orleans Pelicans (-8) (-110) at San Antonio Spurs

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1487-1212-56 ATS (55.1%), including 629-507-26 ATS (55.4%) since 2018. This situation contains a profitable 580-421-24 ATS (57.9%) subset angle that involves teams coming off a loss in games with totals of greater than 220 points. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of greater than 225 points are 251-185-9 ATS (57.6%), winning by an average margin of +10.1 points per game.

Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off a win that snapped a two-plus game losing streak are 197-141-7 ATS (58.3%), including 70-45-1 ATS (60.9%) since 2017.  Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 763-992-37 ATS (43.5%) versus .749 or worse opponents.

Los Angeles Clippers (-11.5) (-110) at Detroit Pistons

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1487-1212-56 ATS (55.1%), including 629-507-26 ATS (55.4%) since 2018. This situation contains a profitable 580-421-24 ATS (57.9%) subset angle that involves teams coming off a loss in games with totals of greater than 220 points. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of greater than 225 points are 251-185-9 ATS (57.6%), winning by an average margin of +10.1 points per game.

Since 1995, non-conference road favorites of -6.5 or more that are averaging 10-plus three-pointers per game and allowing fewer points per game than the league average are 46-14 ATS (76.7%) versus opponents entering off a loss as underdogs provided they have the same or worse win percentage. These road warriors are 41-9 ATS (82%) since 2018 and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight circumstances.

The concern with laying the points with the Clippers is the fact that double-digit non-conference favorites are just 72-104-2 ATS (40.9%) since 2021, including 37-65-2 ATS (36.3%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. These inflated favorites have failed to cover the spread by an average margin of -4.03 points per game in that span.

Oskeim Sports gives free NFL Picks and NFL Predictions throughout the 2023-24 NFL season. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NFL odds, totals and free picks.

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