Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, November 15! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors valuable information on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Vegas Golden Knights (-124) at Utah Hockey Club
Report: Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2875-1878 (60.5%; +4.2% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2346-1563 (60%; +4.5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -107 to -174 coming off one win exact are 417-232 (64.3%; +12.6% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game as underdogs that are not on a prolonged losing streak, including 153-73 (67.7%; +17.6% ROI) since 2019. Since 2004, NHL road favorites of -175 or less coming off a win that went under the total are 163-85 (65.7%; +15.1% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game that went under in games with totals of six or more goals. Since 2004, NHL road favorites of -175 or less coming off a win that are averaging more shots on goal than their opponent are 520-327 (61.4%; +7.7% ROI).
Finally, since 2004, NHL teams coming off a game as underdogs in which their opponent had twice the number of shots on goal are 308-408 (43%; -5.5% ROI), including 43-67 (39.1%; -5.8% ROI) since 2020.
Nashville Predators (-123) at Calgary Flames
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2092-1337 (61%; +3.3% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 541-325 (62.5%; +1.2% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2875-1878 (60.5%; +4.2% ROI). Since 2003, NHL home underdogs are 193-323 (37.4%; -16.9% ROI) versus opponents with revenge coming off a game against .499 or worse foes, including 50-121 (29.2%; -33.5% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average margin of -1.2 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 633-340 (65.1%; +10.5% ROI). Since 2004, unrested road favorites are 715-471 (60.3%; +2% ROI), including 223-136 (62.1%) since 2020. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -150 or less coming off a loss as underdogs are 390-265 (59.5%; +7.5% ROI).
Finally, since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are 364-541 (40.2%; -8.5% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 131-234 (35.9%; -17% ROI) since 2018, losing by an average margin of -0.8 goals per game.
Detroit Red Wings (-140) at Anaheim Ducks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2092-1337 (61%; +3.3% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 541-325 (62.5%; +1.2% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 601-397 (60.2%; +4.0% ROI), including 184-95 (65.9%; +8.3% ROI) since 2020. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -107 to -174 coming off one win exact are 417-232 (64.3%; +12.6% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game as underdogs that are not on a prolonged losing streak, including 153-73 (67.7%; +17.6% ROI) since 2019. Since 2004, NHL road favorites of -175 or less coming off a win that went under the total are 163-85 (65.7%; +15.1% ROI) versus opponents entering off a game that went under in games with totals of six or more goals.
Finally, since 2003, non-conference road favorites of -190 or less that missed the playoffs the previous season are 154-94 (62.1%; +8.3% ROI) versus opponents that missed the playoffs the prior season, including 102-59 (63.4%; +10.8% ROI) since 2016.
Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic UNDER 210.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1215-1004-73 to the Under (55%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 647-498-39 to the Under (56.5%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 1995, NBA contests between teams that have combined to average 430 or more points in their last three games are 590-427-25 to the Under (58%) with totals of less than 216 points. Since 2001, NBA games between teams that have the lowest total of their last three games in contests with totals of less than 225 points are 1219-897-73 (57.6%), including 538-372-29 (59.1%) since 2015, covering the total by an average margin of -2.7 points per game.
Finally, since 2001, NBA home favorites of less than six points coming off four consecutive home games are 114-72-7 to the Under (61.3%), covering the total by an average margin of -3.2 points per game.
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