Buffalo continues to fly under-the-radar despite winning four of its last five games, including road upsets over Western Michigan (91-71), Toledo (73-68) and Northern Illinois (90-78). Meanwhile, Eastern Michigan arrives in town with a woeful 3-9 ATS mark in its last twelve road games, 4-9 ATS in its last thirteen games versus .501 or greater opposition and 5-14 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning home record.
The Bulls are a profitable 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games versus teams with a losing record, while the home team is a remarkable 10-2 ATS in the last twelve meetings in this series.
The Bulls are 7-2 SU at home this season where they are averaging 82.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, which is certainly good enough to exploit a pathetic Eastern Michigan defense that is yielding 81.9 points per game on the road (39.7% 3-PT). The Eagles are also giving up 81.0 points per game in conference play (39.3% 3-PT) and 83.2 points over their last five games (40.5% 3-PT).
While Eastern Michigan possesses an attack that is 4.7 points per game better than average (79.3 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 74.6 points per game), the Bulls’ stop unit is limiting foes to 39.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% from beyond the arc on their home floor this season.
Let’s also note that Eastern Michigan is just 18-34 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points and 12-23 ATS after covering the spread. Looking to avenge its 81-69 loss at Eastern Michigan last month, take Buffalo to improve to 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games and invest with confidence.
I also have leans on the following college basketball sides for today:
- Virginia Commonwealth (-10)
- California (-7.5)
- Virginia Tech (+2)
- Arkansas (-7)
- West Virginia (-6.5)
Please keep in mind that the above leans do not constitute rated investments; these sides are merely leans for anyone interested in the games that almost made the cut. Good luck today and enjoy the games!