Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (-165)
Report: Since 2003, .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1166-2367 SU (33%; -8.6% ROI) and 1533-1394 RL (-3% ROI), losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game. Since 2008, MLB home favorites that scored six or more runs in each of their last three games are 238-134 SU (64%; +4.2% ROI) and 176-195 RL (+5.8% ROI), winning by an average of +1.19 runs per game. This situation is 52-13 SU (80%; +25% ROI) and 39-26 RL (60%; +26.5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.23 runs per game.
Finally, since 2008, MLB road teams coming off back-to-back losses by two or more runs are 683-936 SU (42.2%; -5.5% ROI) and 868-748 RL (-2.9% ROI) in the final game of a series.
Seattle Mariners (-120) at Houston Astros
Report: Since 2017, MLB road favorites coming off a game that went under the total in which they had three or more walks are 893-631 SU (58.4%; +1% ROI), winning by an average of +1.19 runs per game. Since 2004, MLB home underdogs in games with a total between 7 and 8 runs are 1710-2338 SU (42.2%; -4.8% ROI) and 2058-1636 RL (-1.9% ROI) following a game in which they had fewer than twelve hits, losing by an average of -0.91 runs per game.
Since 2016, divisional road favorites coming off a road game are 693-464 SU (59.9%; +2.9% ROI) in games played before the All-Star break, winning by an average of +1.09 runs per game. Finally, Seattle starter Logan Gilbert is 27-12 SU (69.2%; +36.1% ROI) and 26-13 RL (66.7%; +21.4% ROI) in road affairs, winning by an average of +1.62 runs per game.
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants (-265)
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1914-670 SU (74.1%; +4.1% ROI) and 1499-1079 RL (58.1%; +4.6% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. San Francisco applies to a very good 2269-893 SU (71.8%; +1.9% ROI) and 1448-1197 RL (54.7%; +2.3% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span.
San Francisco starter Logan Webb is 26-8 SU (76.5%; +21.9% ROI) and 18-16 RL (+14.7% ROI) as a home favorite since September 12, 2019, winning by an average of +1.97 runs per game. Finally, the Giants are 159-106 SU (60%; +9.9% ROI) and 144-121 RL (+6% ROI) coming off a win since 2020.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, July 8
- The Kansas City Royals are 26-112 SU (18.8%; -45.1% ROI) and 53-86 RL (38.1%; -23.9% ROI) since September 1, 2012, as large underdogs coming off a game as underdogs in which they had four or more hits, including at least one home run, losing by an average of -2.36 runs per game
- The Kansas City Royals are 2-26 SU (7.1%; -77.9% ROI) and 9-20 RL (31%; -32% ROI) since July 25, 2012, as large underdogs in the final game of a series off a game in which they scored three or more runs, losing by an average of -2.9 runs per game
- Since 2006, MLB favorites coming off a win in which they used seven or more pitchers are 600-348 SU (63.3%; +5.9% ROI) and 440-473 RL (+6.6% ROI), including 152-79 SU (65.8%; +8.2% ROI) and 112-119 RL (+2.7% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.39 runs per game in that span
- Washington starter Patrick Corbin is 10-31 SU (24.4%; -43.1% ROI) and 18-23 RL (-19.6% ROI) since 2013 as a home underdog, losing by an average of -2.34 runs per game.
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