Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
New York Yankees (-215) at Colorado Rockies
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1919-673 SU (74%; +4.1% ROI) and 1503-1083 RL (58.1%; +4.6% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 652-266 SU (71%; +3% ROI) and 518-353 RL (59.5%; +3.2% ROI), winning by an average of +2.32 runs per game. Since 2006, .501 or greater road favorites of -201 or greater are 455-161 SU (73.9%; +5.1% ROI) and 369-213 RL (63.4%; +8% ROI), winning by an average of +2.63 runs per game.
Since 2010, American League road teams priced between -120 and -220 are 1197-780 SU (60.5%; +2.6% ROI) and 941-1030 RL (+1.8% ROI) versus non-divisional foes, winning by an average of +1.33 runs per game. The Yankees are 85-23 SU (78.7%; +10% ROI) and 70-38 RL (64.8%; +10.8% ROI) since April 20, 2019, as large favorites versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.01 or worse, winning by an average of +3.24 runs per game.
Finally, New York starter Gerrit Cole is 51-12 SU (81%; +12.6% ROI) and 36-27 RL (57.1%) as a large favorite off an outing in which he threw six-plus innings versus starting pitchers with an ERA of less than 10.
Minnesota Twins (-210) at Oakland Athletics
Report: Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 652-266 SU (71%; +3% ROI) and 518-353 RL (59.5%; +3.2% ROI), winning by an average of +2.32 runs per game. Since 2008, American League home underdogs off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 300-495 SU (37.7%; -9.7% ROI) and 400-393 RL (-7.2% ROI), losing by an average of -1.46 runs per game. These teams are an even worse 60-155 SU (27.9%; -19.9% ROI) and 87-128 RL (40.5%; -13.4% ROI) as underdogs of +165 or greater, losing by an average of -2.47 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home underdogs coming off a game in which they allowed ten or more runs are 494-734 SU (40.2%; -7.7% ROI) and 560-522 RL (-6.1% ROI), losing by an average of -1.04 runs per game.
Since 2007, home underdogs coming off a loss are 1986-2820 SU (41.3%; -6.3% ROI) and 2554-2232 RL (-4.9% ROI) in games that start after 4 p.m. eastern time, including 507-817 SU (38.3%; -9.5% ROI) and 660-663 RL (-9.1% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.3 runs per game. Finally, the Twins are 37-8 SU (82.2%; +32.5% ROI) and 30-15 RL (66.7%; +48.2% ROI) since September 1, 2014, as favorites in the final game of a series coming off a game in which allowed six or more runs, winning by an average of +2.64 runs per game.
Tampa Bay Rays (-210) at Kansas City Royals
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1919-673 SU (74%; +4.1% ROI) and 1503-1083 RL (58.1%; +4.6% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 652-266 SU (71%; +3% ROI) and 518-353 RL (59.5%; +3.2% ROI), winning by an average of +2.32 runs per game. Since 2006, .501 or greater road favorites of -201 or greater are 455-161 SU (73.9%; +5.1% ROI) and 369-213 RL (63.4%; +8% ROI), winning by an average of +2.63 runs per game.
Since 2008, American League home underdogs off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 300-495 SU (37.7%; -9.7% ROI) and 400-393 RL (-7.2% ROI), losing by an average of -1.46 runs per game. These teams are an even worse 60-155 SU (27.9%; -19.9% ROI) and 87-128 RL (40.5%; -13.4% ROI) as underdogs of +165 or greater, losing by an average of -2.47 runs per game. Finally, since 2009, home underdogs coming off a game that went under the total in which both teams failed to score in the first inning are 1210-1740 SU (41%; -6.9% ROI) and 1553-1389 RL (-6.7% ROI), losing by an average of -1.11 runs per game.
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