Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report – 6/3

Jun 3, 2023

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (-175)

Report: Houston falls into a very good 2048-995 SU (67.3%; +4.9% ROI) and 1380-1474 RL (+2.5% ROI) system of mine that invests on favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better in games with a total of ten runs or less. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.47 runs per game in that span. The Astros also find support in a very good 1120-582 SU (65.8%; +4.5% ROI) and 693-858 RL (+1% ROI) system of mine that invests on certain home favorites against starting pitchers with a 3.50 or better ERA during the months of May, June, July, and August. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.11 runs per game.

Since 2009, Houston is 208-132 SU (61.2%; +8.1% ROI) and 175-165 RL (+3.9% ROI) in afternoon home affairs, including 81-33 SU (71.1%; +11.6% ROI) and 58-56 RL (+5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.72 runs per game. The Astros are 51-18 SU (73.9%; +11.5% ROI) since September 20, 2018, in divisional home games versus left-handed starters, winning by an average of +2.17 runs per game. Finally, Los Angeles applies to very negative 2619-4651 (36%; -4.2% ROI) and 2286-4082 (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (-165)

Report: San Diego applies to a very good 1120-582 SU (65.8%; +4.5% ROI) and 693-858 RL (+1% ROI) system of mine that invests on certain home favorites against starting pitchers with a 3.50 or better ERA during the months of May, June, July and August, winning by an average margin of +1.11 runs per game. Since 2004, MLB home favorites of -160 or greater with starting pitchers coming off a loss in which they allowed eight or more runs are 473-240 SU (66.3%; +1.7% ROI) and 357-354 RL (+3.8% ROI), winning by an average margin of +1.73 runs per game. The Padres are 44-27 SU (62%; +6.2% ROI) at home since 2011 coming off an upset loss as favorites in which they left eight or more runners on base, including 25-11 SU (69.4%; +8.7% ROI) since 2020.

San Diego falls into a very good 2048-995 SU (67.3%; +4.9% ROI) and 1380-1474 RL (+2.5% ROI) system of mine that invests on favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better in games with a total of ten runs or less. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.47 runs per game in that span. Finally, San Diego starter Yu Darvish is 82-62 (56.9%) before the All-Star break, including 28-17 (62.2%) since 2020.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (-140)

Report: Since 2002, .610 or greater home favorites from Game 27 out are 178-83 SU (68.2%; +8.6% ROI) and 117-122 RL (+5.4% ROI) in afternoon affairs, winning by an average of +1.36 runs per game. Since 2012, MLB home favorites in games with a total of nine or more runs are 751-469 SU (61.6%; +3.1% ROI) and 566-652 RL (+2.1% ROI) in afternoon affairs, except on Sundays. Since 2004, divisional road underdogs off a shutout loss are 129-192 SU (40.2%; -2.8% ROI) in game 2 of a series, losing by an average margin of -0.68 runs per game.

Finally, Seattle applies to very negative 2619-4651 (36%; -4.2% ROI) and 2286-4082 (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002.

Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Saturday, June 3

  • Since 2012, MLB home favorites in games with a total of nine or more runs are 751-469 SU (61.6%; +3.1% ROI) and 566-652 RL (+2.1% ROI) in afternoon affairs, except on Sundays
  • Since 2004, divisional road underdogs off a shutout loss are 129-192 SU (40.2%; -2.8% ROI) in game 2 of a series, losing by an average margin of -0.68 runs per game
  • The Minnesota Twins are 20-2-3 (90.9%) to the Under since April 16, 2017, at home following a shutout win as favorites.  The Twins are also 7-18 (28%; -39% ROI) against the run line under these circumstances
  • The Colorado Rockies are 42-22-1 (63.6%) to the Under since September 22, 2020, as underdogs following a game in which they allowed six hits or fewer.

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