Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report – 6/25

Jun 25, 2023

betting market report, free betting market report, daily betting market report

Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres (-195)

Report: San Diego applies to a very good 2252-886 SU (71.8%; +1.9% ROI) and 1431-1190 RL (+2.1% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span. Since 2008, MLB home favorites of -180 or greater coming off a shutout loss are 187-80 SU (70%; +3.4% ROI) and 135-128 RL (+1.9% ROI), winning by an average of +1.53 runs per game.

Since 2008, MLB favorites of -140 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series are 1031-565 SU (64.6%; +2.5% ROI) and 756-836 RL (+2% ROI) coming off a game that had no score after six innings, winning by an average of +1.25 runs per game. Finally, Washington falls into a negative 83-136 SU (37.9%; -7.4% ROI) and 115-104 RL (-11.1% ROI) system that dates to 2014 and invests against certain road underdogs of +116 to +239 that are coming off a shutout win in games with a total between 7 and 10 runs.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-170)

Report: Since 2003, MLB road underdogs of +135 or greater in the last game of a series are 361-710 SU (33.7%; -9.7% ROI) and 454-431 RL (-7.3% ROI) with starting pitchers coming off back-to-back losses in their previous two outings, including 53-136 SU (28%; -25% ROI) and 86-103 RL (-15.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average margin of -1.67 runs per game. Since 2009, MLB divisional home favorites of -165 or greater coming off a loss are 909-431 SU (67.8%; +1.9% ROI) and 675-664 RL (+3.2% ROI), including 186-70 SU (72.7%; +7.3% ROI) and 145-111 RL (56.6%; +11.9% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average of +2.11 runs per game.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins (-165) 

Report: Since 2003, MLB road underdogs of +135 or greater in the last game of a series are 361-710 SU (33.7%; -9.7% ROI) and 454-431 RL (-7.3% ROI) with starting pitchers coming off back-to-back losses in their previous two outings, including 53-136 SU (28%; -25% ROI) and 86-103 RL (-15.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average margin of -1.67 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB favorites coming off a win in which they used seven or more pitchers are 598-345 SU (63.4%; +6% ROI) and 438-470 RL (+6.7% ROI), including 150-76 SU (66.4%; +8.8% ROI) and 110-116 RL (+3.1% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.43 runs per game.

The Pirates are 1-19 SU (5%; -88.8% ROI) and 11-9 RL (-2% ROI) since August 1, 2020, as underdogs priced between +120 and +270 following an extra-innings affair, losing by an average margin of -2.9 runs per game.  Finally, Pittsburgh falls into negative 2632-4677 (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 2295-4102 (35.9%; -4.5% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002.

Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, June 25

  • Since 2005, large MLB favorites with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 0.85 or better are 268-91 SU (74.7%; +5.9% ROI) and 191-138 RL (58.1%; +6.2% ROI) when seeking revenge, including 94-25 SU (79%; +10.6% ROI) and 71-48 RL (59.7%; +5.2% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.34 runs per game
  • The Kansas City Royals are 2-24 SU (7.7%; -76.2% ROI) and 9-18 RL (33.3%; -27.1% ROI) since July 25, 2012, as underdogs of +181 or greater in the last game of a series if they scored three or more runs in their previous contest, losing by an average of -2.85 runs per game
  • The Kansas City Royals are 2-21 SU (8.7%; -74.3% ROI) and 5-18 RL (21.7%; -59.6% ROI) since August 12, 2022, as underdogs of +130 or greater following a win with a minus-2.74 runs per game margin.

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