Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins (-180)
Report: Since 2002, MLB .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater are 1161-2358 SU (33%; -8.7% ROI) and 1528-1385 RL (-2.8% ROI) following two or more consecutive losses, losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game. Miami applies to a profitable 2212-1328 SU (62.5%; +5.4% ROI) and 1808-1732 RL (+4.7% ROI) system of mine that dates to 2014 and invests on certain home favorites (or road underdogs) coming off a game in which both teams had fewer than seventeen hits.
The Pirates are 103-169 SU (37.9%; -14.8% ROI) and 131-139 RL (-9.4% ROI) versus left-handed starters since 2017, losing by an average margin of -1.26 runs per game. This situation is 49-91 SU (35%; -15.9% ROI) and 71-68 RL (-6.2% ROI) since 2020. Finally, Pittsburgh falls into very negative 2630-4672 (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 2293-4099 (35.9%; -4.5% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002.
Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres (-285)
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1892-660 SU (74.1%; +4.2% ROI) and 1478-1068 RL (58.1%; +4.5% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. San Diego applies to a very good 2249-883 SU (71.8%; +2% ROI) and 1428-1187 RL (+2.1% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span.
Since 2005, MLB favorites of -200 or greater in the first game of a series are 1219-497 SU (71%; +2% ROI) and 862-677 RL (56%; +4.4% ROI), including 319-125 SU (71.8%; +2.1% ROI) and 251-193 RL (56.5%; +2.9% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +2.06 runs per game. This situation improves to 442-177 SU (71.4%; +2.3% ROI) and 336-277 RL (+2.7% ROI) in games played before the All-Star break (+2.09 margin of victory).
Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays (-295)
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1892-660 SU (74.1%; +4.2% ROI) and 1478-1068 RL (58.1%; +4.5% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. Toronto applies to a very good 2249-883 SU (71.8%; +2% ROI) and 1428-1187 RL (+2.1% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span.
Since 2002, MLB .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater are 1161-2358 SU (33%; -8.7% ROI) and 1528-1385 RL (-2.8% ROI) following two or more consecutive losses, losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -200 or greater in the first game of a series are 1219-497 SU (71%; +2% ROI) and 862-677 RL (56%; +4.4% ROI), including 319-125 SU (71.8%; +2.1% ROI) and 251-193 RL (56.5%; +2.9% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +2.06 runs per game. This situation improves to 442-177 SU (71.4%; +2.3% ROI) and 336-277 RL (+2.7% ROI) in games played before the All-Star break (+2.09 margin of victory).
Finally, since 2004, MLB home favorites of -160 or greater with starting pitchers coming off a loss in which they allowed 8 or more runs are 479-241 SU (66.5%; +1.9% ROI) and 362-356 RL (+4.2% ROI), winning by an average of +1.74 runs per game.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Friday, June 23
- The Kansas City Royals are 2-20 SU (9.1%; -73.2% ROI) and 5-17 RL (22.7%; -58.1% ROI) since August 12, 2022, as underdogs of +130 or greater following a win, losing by an average of -2.5 runs per game
- Kansas City starter Zack Greinke is 3-20 SU (13%; -62.7% ROI) and 8-15 RL (34.8%; -35.3% ROI) since June 1, 2008, as a road underdog of +155 or more, losing by an average of -3.96 runs per game
- Since 2008, MLB home favorites of -180 or greater coming off a shutout loss are 187-80 SU (70%; +3.4% ROI) and 135-128 RL (+1.9% ROI), winning by an average of +1.53 runs per game.
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