Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report – 6/17

Jun 17, 2023

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (-180)

Report: Minnesota applies to a very good 2244-882 SU (71.8%; +1.9% ROI) and 1424-1185 RL (+2.1% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span. Since 2009, MLB divisional home favorites of -165 or greater coming off a loss are 907-430 SU (67.8%; +2% ROI) and 673-663 RL (+3.1% ROI), including 215-83 SU (72.1%; +6.4% ROI) and 166-132 RL (+9.4% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.99 runs per game.

The above-referenced teams are 504-254 SU (66.5%; +1.1% ROI) and 323-314 RL (+5.6% ROI) since 2003 before the All-Star break, including 100-32 SU (75.8%; +14.1% ROI) and 79-53 RL (+20.4% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +2.61 runs per game. Finally, since 2003, MLB teams coming off back-to-back losses as favorites of -151 or greater are 183-84 SU (68.5%; +6.4% ROI) and 117-107 RL (+9% ROI) in game 3 of a series, including 49-15 SU (76.6%; +15.8% ROI) and 36-27 RL (+15.7% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.2 runs per game.

Los Angeles Angels (-165) at Kansas City Royals

Report: Since 2017, MLB road favorites coming off a game in which they had three or more walks are 872-622 SU (58.4%; +1% ROI) if the game went under the total, winning by an average of +1.16 runs per game. Since 2008, American League home underdogs coming off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 296-490 SU (37.7%; -9.9% ROI) and 393-391 RL (-7.8% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.46 runs per game.

Finally, since 2011, MLB road favorites of -130 or greater coming off a game in which they used less than five pitchers are 1102-668 SU (62.3%; +2.2% ROI) if the game went under the total, winning by an average of +1.46 runs per game.

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners (-150)

Report: Since 2005, MLB home favorites of -130 or greater in afternoon affairs are 937-514 SU (64.6%; +3% ROI) and 610-780 RL (+1% ROI) versus league opponents if the total is less than eight runs, winning by an average margin of +1.04 runs per game. Since June 12, 2012, MLB home favorites of -140 or greater coming off a win as favorites are 149-80 SU (65.1%; +2.7% ROI) before the All-Star break if one additional parameter is satisfied.

The Mariners are 58-34 SU (63%; +12% ROI) since 2017 as home favorites coming off a game in which they issued one or fewer walks (4-1 L/5). This game also falls into a very good 285-197-27 (59.1%) MLB totals system of mine that invests on the under in certain games between .549 or worse teams that both went under the total in their previous contest.

Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Saturday, June 17

  • The Atlanta Braves are 74-25 SU (74.7%; +5.1% ROI) and 56-43 RL (+2% ROI) since 2010 as favorites of greater than -210, including 55-16 SU (77.5%; +7.7% ROI) and 41-30 RL (+1% ROI) since 2019
  • The Tampa Bay Rays are 299-176 SU (62.9%; +11.7% ROI) and 267-208 RL (+11.3% ROI) following a win since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.13 runs per game
  • The San Francisco Giants are 153-101 SU (60.2%; +10.2% ROI) and 140-114 RL (+7.9% ROI) following a win since 2020, winning by an average of +0.81 runs per game
  • Since 2010, MLB home underdogs in game 2 of a series are 173-240 SU (41.9% ROI; -7.9% ROI) and 232-180 RL (-3.3% ROI) coming off a win versus .499 or worse opposition
  • The Washington Nationals are 48-80 SU (37.5%; -27.6% ROI) and 44-83 RL (34.6%; -30.5% ROI) since 2018 at home in the first game of a series.

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