Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Tuesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Colorado Rockies at Boston Red Sox (-225)
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1880-657 SU (74.1%; +4.2% ROI) and 1469-1062 RL (58%; +4.5% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.26 runs per game. Boston applies to a very good 2240-878 SU (71.8%; +2% ROI) and 1421-1180 RL (+2.2% ROI) system that dates to 2004 and invests on certain large favorites of -200 or greater. This situation has won by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game in that span.
Finally, since 2002, MLB road underdogs of +150 or greater coming off a win by two runs or less are 14-57 SU (19.7%; -48% ROI) and 25-38 RL (39.7%; -29.2% ROI) following four consecutive games in which they allowed three runs or less, losing by an average margin of -2.17 runs per game.
Toronto Blue Jays (-125) at Baltimore Orioles
Report: Toronto falls into very good 992-745 (57.1%; +1% ROI), 695-533 (56.6%; +2% ROI), and 568-415 (57.8%) systems of mine that date to 2014 and invest on certain divisional favorites. Toronto starter Chris Bassitt is 23-4 SU (85.2%; +43.7% ROI) and 21-6 RL (77.8%; +48.7% ROI) since August 11, 2019, winning by an average margin of +3.3 runs per game. Bassitt is a perfect 22-0 SU and 20-2 RL (90.9%; +80% ROI) as a road favorite of -120 or greater, winning by an average of +4.5 runs per game.
However, since 2008, MLB home underdogs with totals of 8.5 runs or less are 95-102 SU (+7.8% ROI) and 124-72 RL (63.3%; +8.5% ROI) following a win in which they scored eleven or more runs, covering the run line by an average of +0.99 runs per game.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (-130)
Report: Since 2006, MLB home favorites coming off a non-divisional game in which they had less than nine hits are 381-237 SU (61.7%; +5.3% ROI) versus teams off a game as home favorites, including 72-26 SU (73.5%; +22.7% ROI) and 53-45 RL (+25.5% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.63 runs per game. This situation contains a 179-104 SU (63.3%; +8.1% ROI) subset angle that is 43-11 SU (79.6%; +31.6% ROI) and 29-25 RL (+24.9% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.48 runs per game.
The Cubs are 13-0 SU and 9-4 RL (69.2%; +42.4% ROI) since August 23, 2018, in the first game of divisional home games versus starting pitchers with a 3.77 or worse ERA if they are coming off a road affair. Finally, Chicago falls into very good 992-745 (57.1%; +1% ROI) and 568-415 (57.8%) systems of mine that date to 2014 and invest on certain divisional favorites.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Tuesday, June 13
- Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 639-257 SU (71.3%; +3.3% ROI) and 510-339 RL (60.1%; +4.2% ROI), winning by an average of +2.35 runs per game. These teams improve to 445-157 SU (73.9%; +5.2% ROI) and 363-205 RL (63.9%; +8.8% ROI) if they have a .501 or greater win percentage, winning by an average margin of +2.67 runs per game
- The Dodgers are 40-12 SU (76.9%; +15.9% ROI) and 32-20 RL (61.5%; +26.7% ROI) since May 6, 2019, at home following a game as favorites in which they allowed six or more runs, winning by an average of +2.62 runs per game
- The Dodgers are 17-1 SU (94.4%; +30.2% ROI) and 15-3 RL (83.3%; +45.8% ROI) since July 9, 2018, as favorites of -210 or greater following a game in which their starting pitcher and bullpen each allowed one or more home runs, winning by an average of +4.78 runs per game.
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