Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-113)
Report: Since 2002, .610 or greater home favorites from game 27 out are 182-83 SU (68.7%; +9.3% ROI) and 120-123 RL (+6.4% ROI) in late afternoon/early evening games, winning by an average margin of +1.43 runs per game. This situation is 15-4 SU (78.9%; +32.3% ROI) and 12-7 RL (63.2%; +40.2% ROI) this season, winning by an average of +2.21 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home favorites of -130 or greater in afternoon games with totals of less than eight runs are 936-514 SU (64.6%; +3% ROI) and 610-779 RL (+1% ROI) versus league opponents.
Since 2006, MLB favorites of -149 or less in game 2 (or beyond) of a series coming off a win are 305-202 SU (60.2%; +8.8% ROI) and 208-269 RL (+9.1% ROI) in games 41-69 of the regular season. Finally, Tampa Bay is 297-174 SU (63.1%; +12.1% ROI) and 266-205 RL (56.5%; +11.8% ROI) following a win since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.14 runs per game.
San Diego Padres (-130) at Colorado Rockies
Report: Since 2007, MLB divisional home underdogs of +150 or greater are 354-742 SU (32.3%; -11.8% ROI) and 493-599 RL (-8.3% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.93 runs per game. Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 453-194 SU (70%; +6.7% ROI) and 360-286 RL (55.7%; +2.9% ROI) versus teams with revenge, winning by an average margin of +1.98 runs per game. Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 638-254 SU (71.5%; +3.7% ROI) and 509-336 RL (60.2%; +4.6% ROI), winning by an average of +2.36 runs per game. Since 2014, MLB road favorites with starting pitchers with revenge are 777-535 SU (59.2%; +2.3% ROI) and 615-696 RL (+1.1% ROI) versus teams they defeated in the previous meeting, including 205-133 SU (60.7%; +3% ROI) and 168-170 RL (+3.8% ROI) since 2021.
Finally, since 2016, divisional road favorites coming off a road game are 675-452 SU (59.9%; +2.9% ROI) before the All-Star break, including 279-184 SU (60.3%; +2% ROI) since 2020.
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves (-180)
Report: Since 2002, .610 or greater home favorites from Game 27 out are 182-83 SU (68.7%; +9.3% ROI) and 120-123 RL (+6.4% ROI) in late afternoon/early evening games, winning by an average margin of +1.43 runs per game. This situation is 15-4 SU (78.9%; +32.3% ROI) and 12-7 RL (63.2%; +40.2% ROI) this season, winning by an average of +2.21 runs per game. The Braves are 52-19 SU (73.2%; +21.1% ROI) and 40-30 RL (+23.3% ROI) since June 17, 2018, as favorites versus starting pitchers that defeated them in their previous meeting, winning by an average of +2.44 runs per game.
Finally, Washington falls into very negative 2622-4659 (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 2288-4090 (35.9%; -4.5% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$43,500 against the run line since 2002.
New York Mets (-130) at Pittsburgh Pirates
Report: Since 2010, MLB road favorites with a worse win percentage are 454-322 SU (58.5%; +5.3% ROI) and 358-416 RL (+3.7% ROI) coming off a road loss with revenge for a road loss, including 165-89 SU (65%; +16.2% ROI) and 133-121 RL (+11.1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.72 runs per game in that span. Since the beginning of the 2022 season, the Mets are 46-18 SU (71.9%; +9.9% ROI) and 33-31 RL (+10.8% ROI) as favorites coming off a loss, winning by an average of +1.38 runs per game. Finally, the Mets are 48-17 SU (73.8%; +26.3% ROI) and 40-25 RL (61.5%; +23.6% ROI) since April 12, 2022, following a loss in which they had two or more walks, winning by an average of +1.43 runs per game.
Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!