Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report – 5/31

May 31, 2023

betting market report, free betting market report, daily betting market report

Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Wednesday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Philadelphia Phillies (-120) at over New York Mets

Report: Since 2009, MLB home underdogs coming off a game that went under the total where both teams failed to score in the first inning are 1193-1708 SU (41.1%; -6.7% ROI) and 1529-1364 RL (-6.6% ROI), including 323-527 SU (38%; -10.8% ROI) and 425-425 RL (-9.9% ROI) since 2019. Since 2004, .499 or worse road favorites coming off a shutout loss are 143-87 SU (62.2%; +11.2% ROI) and 92-99 RL (+8.4% ROI), including 33-12 SU (73.3%; +28.2% ROI) and 27-18 RL (60%; +33.3% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +2.09 runs per game.

Since 2002, MLB favorites of -108 or greater coming off a shutout loss as road underdogs are 141-85 SU (62.4%; +11.6% ROI) and 100-94 RL (16.5% ROI) versus the same opponent, including 25-7 SU (78.1%; +40% ROI) and 23-9 RL (71.9%; +56.2% ROI) since 2020. Finally, New York falls into a very negative 246-393 SU (38.5%; -14.2% ROI) system of mine that dates to 2016 and invests against certain divisional underdogs priced between +100 to +200 versus .499 or worse opposition from the month of May forward. This situation has cost bettors -$10,481 against the run line over that span.

Atlanta Braves (-1.5) (-135) at Oakland Athletics

Report: Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 633-254 SU (71.4%; +3.4% ROI) and 505-335 RL (60.1%; +4.4% ROI), including 441-155 SU (74%; +5.3% ROI) and 359-203 RL (63.9%; +8.8% ROI) if they have a .501 or better winning percentage. Since 2008, large favorites of -210 or more are 1872-650 SU (74.2%; +4.4% ROI) and 1462-1054 RL (58.1%; +4.6% ROI) in games with a total of eight or more runs, including 1275-409 SU (75.7%; +5.9% ROI) and 1006-679 RL (59.7%; +4.9% ROI) since 2016.

Since 2002, MLB road favorites of -130 or greater coming off a game in which they used less than five pitchers are 1094-662 SU (62.3%; +2.3% ROI) and 862-892 RL (+1% ROI), including 431-252 SU (63.1%; +3.4% ROI) and 351-332 RL (+4% ROI) versus non-divisional opponents. These teams have won by an average margin of +1.75 runs per game in that span.  Since 2009, MLB home underdogs coming off a game that went under the total where both teams failed to score in the first inning are 1193-1708 SU (41.1%; -6.7% ROI) and 1529-1364 RL (-6.6% ROI), including 323-527 SU (38%; -10.8% ROI) and 425-425 RL (-9.9% ROI) since 2019.

Oakland is 58-133 SU (30.4%; -11.6% ROI) and 88-103 RL (-8.8% ROI) as underdogs of more than +160 since 2014, losing by an average of 2.04 runs per game. This situation is 2-19 SU and 6-15 RL since April 25, 2023.  The Braves are 68-23 SU (74.7%; +5.3% ROI) and 51-40 RL (+1.6% ROI) as favorites of -211 or greater since 2010, including 49-14 SU (77.8%; +8.3% ROI) and 36-27 RL (+1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.44 runs per game.

Finally, the Braves are 15-2 SU (88.2%; +22.9% ROI) and 13-4 RL (76.5%; +27.6% ROI) since 2021 as road favorites of more than -210 in the first three games of a series, winning by an average of +4.12 runs per game. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.

Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Wednesday, May 31

  • Since 2002, the Dodgers are 107-39 SU (73.3%; +15.2% ROI) and 67-53 RL (+13.9% ROI) in home games with a total of nine or more runs, including 57-14 SU (80.3%; +15.1% ROI) and 44-27 RL (+18.5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.54 runs per game
  • Since 2005, the Dodgers are 190-99 SU (65.7%; +13.3% ROI) and 140-126 RL (+4.6% ROI) when going for a series sweep, including 62-22 SU (73.8%; +16.3% ROI) and 51-33 RL (60.7%; +18.2% ROI) since 2019
  • Since 2018, the Rays are 119-84 SU (58.6%) as road favorites, winning by an average margin of +1.04 runs per game
  •  Since 2019, the Rangers are 78-119 SU (39.6%; -16% ROI) and 98-99 RL (-5.3% ROI) following back-to-back games in which they did not commit an error
  • Texas starter Dane Dunning is 3-22 SU (12%; -73.9% ROI) and 12-13 RL (-11.5% ROI) since September 10, 2020, on the road following an outing in which he had five or more strikeouts, losing by an average of -1.44 runs per game.

Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!