Oskeim Sports’ Betting Preview & Free Picks – 11/2

Nov 2, 2023

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ NFL Betting preview!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information and free picks on Thursday’s games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Wake Forest (+12.5) (-110) at Duke

Report: Since 1991, unranked college football road underdogs averaging 125 or more rushing yards per game are 410-283-22 ATS (59.2%) in games with totals of 47 points or less, covering the spread by an average of +2.13 points per game.  Since 1990, double-digit conference road underdogs in games with totals of 46 points or less are 230-145-16 ATS (61.3%), covering the spread by an average margin of +3.21 points per game.  Since 2000, college football teams coming off a loss and playing with revenge are 94-51-1 ATS (64.8%) in late-evening affairs, covering the Vegas number by an average of +3.83 points per game.

Since 2004, home favorites coming off a game in which they scored fewer than ten points are 254-356-22 ATS (41.6%), including 88-132-11 ATS (40%) since 2017, falling short of market expectations by an average of -3.85 points per game.  Finally, college football favorites of -13 or less are 39-76-4 ATS (33.9%) following a shutout loss, failing to cover the spread by -4.2 points per game in that span.  These teams are 3-13-1 ATS (18.8%) since 2019, losing by -5.12 points per game and failing to cover the spread by -12.15 points per game.

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers (-119)

Report: Since 2003, NHL underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins are 791-1270 (38.3%; -11.1% ROI), including 104-196 (34.6%; -17.7% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.9 goals per game.  Since 2003, NHL road underdogs coming off two or more consecutive wins in which they scored three goals or less are 216-393 (35.5%; -15.9% ROI), including 10-26 (27.8%; -30.3% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.9 points per game.  Since 2007, NHL favorites of less than -200 coming off a win that went under the total are 531-387 (57.8%; +1% ROI) versus teams with revenge in games with totals of six goals or less, including 92-54 (63%; +8.1% ROI) since 2020.

Finally, the Rangers fall into a very good 333-186 NHL system of mine that invests on favorites with 1-3 days of rest versus teams with one or fewer days of rest coming off three or more consecutive wins provided the opponent is playing at a new site.  These favorites have won by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game since 2010.

New York Islanders (-125) at Washington Capitals

Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 671-364 (64.8%; +10.2% ROI) versus teams with two or fewer days of rest, including 154-80 (65.8%; +6.7% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of 0.74 goals per game.  Since 2003, NHL underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins are 791-1270 (38.3%; -11.1% ROI), including 104-196 (34.6%; -17.7% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.9 goals per game.  The foregoing situation plummets to 368-640 (36.5%; -13.3% ROI) with .549 or worse underdogs that won their last game by fewer than four goals.

Since 2003, NHL teams priced from -124 to underdogs on a 3-7 game winning streak are 1160-1598 (42.1%; -8.4% ROI), including 175-250 (41.2%; -9.7% ROI) since 2020.  Finally, the Islanders apply to a very good 333-186 NHL system of mine that invests on favorites with 1-3 days of rest versus teams with one or fewer days of rest coming off three or more consecutive wins provided the opponent is playing at a new site.

Colorado State (+7) (-110) at Wyoming 

Date: Friday, November 3

Time: 8 p.m. EST

Report: Since 1998, conference road underdogs of seven or more points are 456-332-23 ATS (57.9%) in games with totals of 48 points or less, including 79-54-2 ATS (59.4%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.9 points per game. Since 2004, home favorites coming off a game in which they scored fewer than ten points are 254-356-22 ATS (41.6%), including 88-132-11 ATS (40%) since 2017, falling short of market expectations by an average of -3.85 points per game.

Since 2000, college football teams coming off a loss and playing with revenge are 94-51-1 ATS (64.8%) in late-evening affairs, covering the Vegas number by an average of +3.83 points per game.  Finally, conference road underdogs of +3.5 to +9 points with revenge for a loss as home underdogs are 178-127-6 ATS (58.4%) since 2008 in non-Thursday games with totals between 42 and 70 points, including 95-64-4 ATS (59.7%) since 2016.

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