Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Tuesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (-192)
Report: Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same (or better) record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2321-909 SU (71.9%; +2% ROI) and 1490-1223 RL (+2.6% ROI) from game 40 out, including 750-249 SU (75.1%; +5% ROI) and 572-427 RL (57.3%; +3.3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.21 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2666-4756 SU (35.9%; -4.5% ROI) and 3788-3215 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater opposition, losing by an average margin of -1.16 runs per game. Since 2003, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1149-596 SU (65.8%; +4.5% ROI) versus starting pitchers whose ERA is 3.50 or better during the months of May through August, winning by an average of +1.11 runs per game.
Finally, since 2005, MLB favorites of -196 or greater with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.09 or better with revenge are 571-209 SU (73.2%; +4.9% ROI) and 410-308 RL (57.1%; +5.8% ROI), including 271-83 SU (76.6%; +8.7% ROI) and 208-146 RL (58.8%; +5.3% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.52 runs per game.
Atlanta Braves (-260) at Colorado Rockies
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2323-875 SU (72.6%; +2.6% ROI) and 1706-1285 RL (57%; +3.2% ROI), including 1191-401 SU (74.8%; +4.8% ROI) and 940-653 RL (59%; +3.4% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB underdogs of greater than +200 with starting pitchers coming off a non-quality start are 319-995 SU (24.3%; -18.7% ROI) and 491-735 RL (40%; -12.2% ROI), including 172-589 SU (22.6%; -24% ROI) and 297-463 RL (39.1%; -24% ROI) since 2018, losing by an average of -2.64 runs per game.
Finally, since 2006, road favorites of -200 or greater are 668-282 SU (70.3%; +1.9% ROI) and 531-372 RL (58.8%; +2% ROI), including 466-171 SU (73.2%; +4.2% ROI) and 378-225 RL (62.7%; +6.7% ROI) if they have a winning record. These teams have won by an average of +2.61 runs per game since 2006. The foregoing situation contains an additional 523-241 SU (68.5%) and 391-305 RL (56.2%) subset angle that involves opponents with a .449 or worse winning percentage.
Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays (-205)
Report: Since 2003, .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater off two or more consecutive losses are 1183-2392 SU (33.1%; -8.4% ROI) and 1556-1413 RL (-2.8% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game. Since 2004, large home favorites with certain run differentials are 1493-620 SU (70.6%; +2.4% ROI) and 921-809 RL (+3.3% ROI), including 433-168 SU (72%; +4.1% ROI) and 332-266 RL (55.4%; +4.8% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.04 runs per game.
Toronto starter Jose Berrios is 21-0 SU and 19-2 RL (90.5%; +64.1% ROI) as a favorite of at least -200 in games with totals of nine runs or less, winning by an average margin of +4.29 runs per game. Finally, Berrios is 18-1 SU (94.7%; +38.5% ROI) and 13-6 RL (68.4%; +28.7% ROI) with the Blue Jays as a favorite of greater than -160, winning by an average of +3.42 runs per game.
Bonus MLB Betting Trend for Tuesday, August 29
- Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2666-4756 SU (35.9%; -4.5% ROI) and 3788-3215 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater opposition, including 817-2008 SU (28.9%; -11.1% ROI) and 1127-1315 RL (-6.9% ROI) as road underdogs of +175 or greater, losing by an average of -1.87 runs per game.
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