Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Seattle Mariners (-220) at Chicago White Sox
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2311-870 SU (72.7%; +2.6% ROI) and 1698-1276 RL (57.1%; +3.3% ROI), including 1179-396 SU (74.9%; +4.8% ROI) and 932-644 RL (59.1%; +3.6% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.39 runs per game. Since 2006, road favorites of -200 or greater are 666-281 SU (70.3%; +2% ROI) and 529-371 RL (58.8%; +1.9% ROI), including 465-170 SU (73.2%) and 377-224 RL (62.7%; +6.8% ROI) if they have a .501 or greater win percentage. These teams have won by an average of +2.6 runs per game since 2006. Let’s also note that these large road favorites are 521-240 SU (68.5%) since 2005 versus .449 or worse foes, winning by an average of +2.01 runs per game.
Since 2006, MLB favorites coming off a win in which they used seven or more pitchers are 604-353 SU (63.1%; +5.6% ROI) and 444-478 RL (+6.5% ROI), including 156-84 SU (65%; +7.2% ROI) and 116-124 RL (+2.6% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.4 runs per game. Finally, since 2008, American League home underdogs of +165 or greater coming off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 64-156 SU (29.1%; -16.4% ROI) and 91-129 RL (41.4%; -11.4% ROI), losing by an average of -2.37 runs per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) at Cleveland Guardians
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2311-870 SU (72.7%; +2.6% ROI) and 1698-1276 RL (57.1%; +3.3% ROI), including 1179-396 SU (74.9%; +4.8% ROI) and 932-644 RL (59.1%; +3.6% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.39 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -196 or greater with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.09 or better with revenge are 571-209 SU (73.2%; +4.9% ROI) and 410-308 RL (57.1%; +5.8% ROI), including 271-83 SU (76.6%; +8.7% ROI) and 208-146 RL (58.8%; +5.3% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.52 runs per game.
Since 2006, road favorites of -200 or greater are 666-281 SU (70.3%; +2% ROI) and 529-371 RL (58.8%; +1.9% ROI), including 465-170 SU (73.2%) and 377-224 RL (62.7%; +6.8% ROI) if they have a .501 or greater win percentage. These teams have won by an average of +2.6 runs per game since 2006. Finally, since 2003, MLB favorites of more than -185 coming off a loss in which they led after the sixth inning are 236-101 SU (70%; +1.2% ROI) and 156-130 RL (54.5%; +3.4% ROI), including 95-24 SU (79.8%; +13.7% ROI) and 72-46 RL (61%; +11.2% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.53 runs per game.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-195)
Report: Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same (or better) record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2310-907 SU (71.8%; +1.9% ROI) and 1483-1217 RL (+2.6% ROI) from game 40 out, including 739-247 SU (74.9%; +4.8% ROI) and 565-421 RL (57.3%; +3.4% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.19 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2665-4744 SU (36%; -4.4% ROI) and 3783-3207 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater opposition, winning by an average of +1.2 runs per game.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Wednesday, August 23
- Since 2003, .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater off two or more consecutive losses are 1182-2385 SU (33.1%; -8.3% ROI) and 1551-1410 RL (-2.9% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game
- Since 2003, MLB road underdogs of +156 or greater coming off a road game in which they scored less than nine runs are 454-988 SU (31.5%; -9.8% ROI) and 575-623 RL (-8.3% ROI) with starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.81 or worse that are coming off back-to-back losses in their previous two outings, losing by an average of -1.69 runs per game.
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