Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Daily Betting Market Report! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Tuesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-165)
Report: Since 2005, MLB home favorites of -156 to -210 with revenge are 782-394 SU (66.5%; +3.8% ROI) and 509-529 RL (+6.6% ROI) in the first game of a series, winning by an average margin of +1.5 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB home favorites coming off a non-divisional game in which they had less than nine hits are 379-236 SU (61.6%; +5.2% ROI) versus teams off a game as home favorites, including 70-25 SU (73.7%; +23% ROI) and 52-43 RL (54.7%; +27% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.63 runs per game.
Chicago applies to very negative 2621-4653 (36%; -4.2% ROI) and 2287-4084 (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002. Finally, the Yankees are 172-97 SU (63.9%; +2.9% ROI) and 118-119 RL (+5.7% ROI) in game 1 of a non-divisional series, including 40-18 SU (69%; +8.4% ROI) and 31-27 RL (+7.2% ROI) since 2019.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) at Cincinnati Reds
Report: Since 2005, large MLB favorites are 1213-491 SU (71.2%; +2.2% ROI) and 858-669 RL (56.2%; +4.8% ROI) in the first game of a series, winning by an average of +2.02 runs per game. These teams are 436-171 SU (71.8%; +3.1% ROI) and 332-269 RL (55.2%; +3.7% ROI) before the All-Star game, winning by an average margin of +2.11 runs per game. Since 2006, large MLB road favorites are 635-254 SU (71.4%; +3.5% ROI) and 507-335 RL (60.2%; +4.5% ROI), winning by an average margin of +2.36 runs per game.
Since 2002, MLB road favorites of -130 or greater coming off a game in which they used less than five pitchers are 1099-665 SU (62.3%; +2.4% ROI) and 865-897 RL (+1% ROI), winning by an average margin of +1.46 runs per game in that span. These teams improve to 434-252 SU (63.3%; +3.7% ROI) and 353-333 RL (+4.2% ROI) versus non-divisional opponents, winning by an average of +1.75 runs per game.
Finally, the Dodgers are 71-21 SU (77.2%; +8.8% ROI) and 61-31 RL (66.3%; +22.9% ROI) coming off a home game since September 24, 2020, versus starting pitchers with a 4.01 or worse ERA, winning by an average of +2.68 runs per game.
Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-165)
Report: Since 2015, MLB favorites of -130 or greater coming off a win in which they scored 3 to 6 runs are 731-429 SU (63%; +1% ROI) and 548-609 RL (+1% ROI) in the first game of a series, including 294-162 SU (64.5%; +2.6% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.37 runs per game. Minnesota applies to very negative 2621-4653 (36%; -4.2% ROI) and 2287-4084 (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$40,500 against the run line since 2002.
Tampa Bay is 293-174 SU (62.7%; +11.6% ROI) and 263-204 RL (56.3%; +11.3% ROI) following a win since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.11 runs per game. Finally, the Rays are 142-74 SU (65.7%; +3.2% ROI) as favorites of -143 or greater with a starting pitcher who won his previous outing on the road, including 35-16 SU (68.6%; +8.3% ROI) since 2020 (+1.8 runs per game margin).
Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies (-180)
Report: Since 2008, MLB favorites of -210 or greater are 1877-651 SU (74.2%; +4.4% ROI) and 1467-1055 RL (58.2%; +4.7% ROI) in games with a total of eight runs or more, winning by an average margin of +2.27 runs per game. Philadelphia falls into a very good 2236-873 SU (71.9%; +2.1% ROI) and 1420-1172 RL (54.8%; +2.4% ROI) system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. This situation is 665-213 SU (75.7%; +5.7% ROI) and 502-376 RL (57.2%; +3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.23 runs per game.
Finally, the Phillies apply to a profitable 1264-517 SU (71%; +2.9% ROI) and 890-783 RL (+3.4% ROI) system of mine that invests on certain large home favorites of -200 or greater that has won by an average margin of +1.91 runs per game since 2006.
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