North Florida enters the NIT with an explosive attack that is averaging 84.8 points per game (48.6% FG; 41.1% 3-PT) against teams that would combine to allow 76.7 points per game. The Ospreys are also 14-2 SU at home this season where they are averaging 89.6 points per game on 50.7% shooting from the field and 40.7% from beyond the arc.
In contrast, Florida enters the NIT with a pedestrian attack that is 3.1 points per game better than average (73.6 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 70.5 points per game). The larger concern for Florida backers is the fact that the Gators are 7-10 SU on the road this season where they are averaging just 67.8 points per game on 40.2% shooting from the floor and 29.9% from three-point territory.
While it’s true that North Florida possesses a bad defense (5.8 points per game worse than average), the Ospreys should have success slowing down Florida’s anemic attack. Moreover, Florida’s defense has fallen off the map, yielding 77.8 points over its last five games.
From a technical standpoint, Florida is a money-burning 3-9 ATS in its last twelve games overall, and one has to wonder about the team’s mindset after landing in the NIT. With Florida standing at 1-6 ATS in its last seven games versus .601 or greater opposition, grab the points in this NIT matchup and invest with confidence.
Oskeim has leans on the following college basketball games on Tuesday, March 15:
- Rotation #545: Vanderbilt (+4) (-110)
- Rotation #543: Fairleigh Dickinson (+6)
- Rotation #547: Akron (+4.5)
- Rotation #554: Creighton (-8)
- Rotation #561: IPFW (+10)
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