Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ NFL and NCAA Football Betting preview and free picks report for December 2 and 3! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Louisville (+2) (-110) vs. Florida State
Report: Since 2002, college football conference underdogs with revenge coming off a game against unranked non-conference opponents are 217-168-8 ATS (56.4%) versus top-25 teams, including 40-25-2 ATS (61.5%) since 2020. This situation improves to 170-102-6 ATS (62.5%) from Week 5 out, including 52-28-3 ATS (65%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.02 points per game. Since 2000, college football teams coming off a loss with revenge are 104-58-1 ATS (64.2%) in late-night games, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.52 points per game.
Florida State is just 3-14 ATS versus teams coming off an upset loss as favorites, including 0-10 ATS as favorites when entering off a win. Louisville is 15-6 ATS as an underdog following a loss over the last five seasons, while head coach Jeff Brohm is 28-15-1 ATS as an underdog in his career, including 11-0 ATS coming off a loss. Since 2016, neutral-field underdogs playing with revenge are 44-27 ATS (62%). Finally, the Seminoles are 9-17 ATS in road/neutral games since 2019 and 7-16 ATS in conference affairs since 2021.
College Football Betting Trends for Saturday, December 2
- In college football games featuring two ranked teams, the home team is 170-82 SU and 145-99-8 ATS (59.4%) since 2017
- The above situation improves to 102-17 SU and 75-40-4 ATS (65.2%) if the home team is ranked better
- Since 2011, college football teams coming off a conference win in which they gained less than 250 total yards are 73-43 ATS (62.9%) in their next game
- Power 5 conference title game favorites are 24-4 SU and 19-9 ATS (67.9%) in neutral field affairs
- Conference title game totals of less than 50 points are 23-8 to the Over (74.2%) since 2003
- Georgia is 20-8 ATS (71.4%) in road/neutral games since 2020
Arizona Cardinals (+5.5) (-110) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Report: Since 1991, NFL road underdogs of less than seven points that won fewer than five games the previous season are 290-185-11 ATS (61.1%), including 101-55-4 ATS (64.7%) since 2015, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.61 points per game. Since 2005, NFL underdogs of three or more points coming off a loss by 20 or more points are 280-208-11 ATS (57.4%), including 39-27-1 ATS (59.1%) since 2021, covering by an average of +2.3 points per game.
The foregoing situation improves to 164-111-13 ATS with non-divisional underdogs of 3 to 7 points, including 44-25 -5 ATS (63.8%) since 2016. Since 1996, non-divisional road underdogs of +3.5 to +6.5 points coming off a game as home underdogs in which they failed to cover the spread by two-plus points are 70-52-3 ATS (57.4%), including 23-3-1 ATS (88.5%) since 2018, covering by an average of +3.5 points per game.
Since 2018, NFL underdogs in games with totals of less than 42 points are 155-124-10 ATS (55.6%). The Steelers are just 9-31-1 ATS (22.5%) coming off a win versus .400 or worse non-divisional opponents. Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 2-10-1 ATS in non-divisional games following a road win, whereas the Cardinals are 9-1 ATS on the road versus AFC North foes.
NFL Betting Trends for Sunday, December 3
- Since 1989, NFL underdogs of +3.5 to +10 points that are averaging 17 points or less in their last four games are 107-58-4 ATS (64.8%) versus opponents averaging 16 or fewer points per game on the season, including 19-7 ATS (73.1%) since 2014
- Since 2018, NFL underdogs in games with totals of less than 42 points are 155-124-10 ATS (55.6%)
- Since 2008, NFL teams that have allowed 100 or more combined points over their last three games are 178-118-7 to the Under (60.1%), including 60-37 UNDER (61.9%) since 2019
- Since 2008, teams coming off a divisional road loss in which they allowed 35 or more points are 75-50-4 to the Under (60%) in games with totals of less than 54 points, including 26-14-2 UNDER (65%) since 2018
- Since 2012, AFC road favorites in games with totals of less than 48 points are 54-29 to the Under (65.1%) versus NFC opponents, including 33-12 UNDER (73.3%) since 2019
Oskeim Sports gives free NFL Picks and NFL Predictions throughout the 2023-24 NFL season. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NFL odds, totals and free picks.
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