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Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Philadelphia at Washington

The 2013-2014 NFL season has officially started yesterday and Monday night features two games, including a highly-anticipated division contest between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins.  The experts at Pro Edge Sports have spent countless hours analyzing this game, and we believe the points offer too much value to pass up.  Please find Pro Edge’s Monday Night Football betting preview below:

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) (-110) at Washington Redskins

  • NFL home favorites on Monday Night are just 22-20 SU and 14-28 ATS, including 12-20 SU and 9-23 ATS as favorites of six points or less and 2-11 SU and 1-12 ATS if they won ten or more games the previous season and the total  is 41 or more points;
  • Philadelphia is 15-6 ATS versus division opponents on Monday Night Football, while the Redskins are 0-5 SU and ATS as Monday Night favorites;
  • Let’s also note that Washington is 35-58 ATS as a favorite, 11-24 ATS at home in September and 11-26 ATS at home in the first month of the season;
  • While there is a lot of excitement surrounding Washington quarterback Robert Griffin, he missed the entire preseason and even Dr. James Andrews voiced concern about his health.  We would not be surprised if the Redskins utilize a scaled-back playbook tonight in light of Griffin’s failure to see any preseason action;
  • We are also concerned about Washington’s defense as the Redskins lost defensive end Jarvis Jenkins and linebacker Rob Jackson is suspended for the first four games.  Two rookies, David Amerson and Baccari Rambo, will see significant playing time in Washington’s secondary, which is also good news for Philadelphia quarterback Michael Vick;
  • Philadelphia head coach Chip Kelly was 33-3 at Oregon and has been praised by one of the best football minds in the league in Bill Belichick.  Kelly brings much-needed innovation and excitement to the franchise, and we believe the offense is built to have immediate success with his offensive schemes;
  • Specifically, Philadelphia’s offensive line has the personnel to excel under Kelly’s offense, and having a dynamic running back in LeSean McCoy in the backfield further enhances Kelly’s playbook.

We also find two teams on opposition spectrums of the variance scale as the Redskins had a 65.8% fumble recovery rate last year, whereas the Eagles had a 38% fumble recovery rate.  Regression to the mean is expected this season as fumbles are 90% random in the NFL.  Based on the above, Pro Edge Sports leans with the Eagles plus the points in what should be a very entertaining game under the Monday Night lights.