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Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Miami at New Orleans

It is often said that Monday Night Football offers sports bettors with one last opportunity to dig themselves out of the hole caused by a weekend full of parlays, teasers and other losing wagers.  While Pro Edge Sports Picks has isolated a winning bet in Monday’s game between the New Orleans Saints and Miami Dolphins, that selection is reserved for our private clients.  However, please find below our Monday Night Football betting preview between Miami and New Orleans:

Miami Offense:

  • The Dolphins are averaging 24.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play and 12.9 yards per point.  Overall, Miami is 0.4 yards per pass attempt and 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively, while being 0.5 yards per rush play worse than average offensively in 2013.

Miami Defense:

  • Miami is limiting opponents to 17.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play and 21.1 yards per point.  Overall, the Dolphins are 0.3 yards per pass attempt and 0.2 yards per play better than average defensively, while being 0.1 yards per rush play worse than average defensively in 2013.

New Orleans Offense:

  • The Saints are averaging 23.3 points per game on 6.1 yards per play and 17.3 yards per point.  Overall, New Orleans is 0.7 yards per pass attempt and 0.4 yards per play better than average offensively, while being 0.2 yards per rush play worse than average offensively this season.

New Orleans Defense:

  • New Orleans is allowing 12.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play and 23.3 yards per point.  Overall, the Saints are 0.7 yards per pass attempt better than average defensively, while being 1.2 yards per rush play and 0.1 yards per play worse than average defensively this season.

The technical analysis is very interesting in that undefeated NFL home teams are 38-14 ATS on Monday night since 1980, including 19-4 ATS versus non-division opponents. Let’s also note that 3-0 non-division home teams in Game Four of the regular season are 31-4 SU and 25-10 ATS, including 11-1 SU and ATS versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win. New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 11-0 SU and ATS at home since 2011, while the Saints are 11-1 ATS non-division home favorites versus an opponent off a win.

Miami also finds a lot of technical support, including the fact that the Dolphins are a perfect 7-0 ATS versus non-conference foes over the last two seasons.  The Dolphins also apply to several technical situations of ours, including 17-1 ATS and 23-4 ATS angles.  Miami arrives in town with a lot of confidence, together with a perfect 3-0 record after last week’s impressive 27-23 come-from-behind win over the Falcons.