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Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Jets at Falcons

Many sports bettors are surprised by the fact that Atlanta is 1-3 on the season, but we have been saying all season that the Falcons are one of the most overrated teams in the league.  Meanwhile, New York is coming off a misleading 38-13 loss at Tennessee in which quarterback Geno Smith committed four turnovers resulting in 28 points for the Titans. Indeed, the Jets actually outgained Tennessee last week, but the four turnovers allowed Tennessee to score on drives of 18, 26 and 46 yards!  The experts at Pro Edge Sports Picks have you covered below with their Monday Night Football betting preview between the Jets and Falcons.

New York Offense:

  • The Jets are averaging 17.0 points per game on 3.9 yards per rush play, 7.1 yards per pass attempt and 5.6 yards per play;
  • Overall, New York is 0.1 yards per rush play worse than average, while being 0.9 yards per pass attempt and 0.3 yards per play better than average offensively.

New York Defense:

  • New York is limiting opponents to 22.0 points per game on 3.0 yards per rush play, 5.7 yards per pass attempt and 4.5 yards per play;
  • Overall, the Jets are 0.9 yards per rush play, 0.2 yards per pass attempt and 0.4 yards per play better than average defensively in 2013.

Meanwhile, the 1-3 Falcons are 0.6 yards per pass attempt and 0.6 yards per play better than average offensively, but their ground attack has stalled without the services of Steven Jackson.  Defensively, Atlanta continues to struggle as the Falcons are yielding 26 points per game on 4.0 yards per rush play, 7.7 yards per pass attempt and 6.3 yards per play.  Overall, the Falcons are 0.4 yards per rush play, 1.1 yards per pass play and 0.8 yards per play worse than average defensively in 2013.

When New York has the ball, Geno Smith & Co. has a 0.3 yards per rush play, 2.0 yards per pass attempt and 1.0 yards per play advantage over the Falcons’ porous defense.  With such a significant advantage on the offensive side of the ball, it is hard to justify making the Jets a 10-point underdog in tonight’s game.  However, the technical analysis strongly favors the home favorite:

  • Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan is 16-1 SU and 12-5 ATS at home off a loss;
  • The Falcons are a perfect 5-0 ATS at home following a home loss;
  • Atlanta head coach Mike Smith is 16-0 SU and ATS in games off a loss by seven or more points.

As if you’re not already confused with the conflicting data, consider that Atlanta has only defeated one of the six AFC teams its has hosted over the last six years by more than six points.  If your head is spinning and you need a winner tonight, join the service the professionals trust as Pro Edge Sports caters to the most successful sports bettors in the world.

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