The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Game Previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
San Diego Padres (-1.5) (-165) at Washington Nationals
Analysis: The Padres are 10-0 straight-up and 9-1 (+83.6% ROI) against the run line since June 17, 2019, following a game in which they scored thirteen or more runs. Since 2016, San Diego starter Mike Clevinger is 17-0 straight-up and against the run line as a favorite of more than -200 following an outing in which he threw fewer than 115 pitches. Since July 1, 2004, the Nationals are 1-22 (-89.8% ROI) straight-up and 5-15 (-52.0% ROI) against the run line as rested large underdogs in the first game of a series versus opponents off two or more consecutive wins.
Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 382-181 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 305-256 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 380-144 (+4.6% ROI) straight-up and 316-207 (+3.4% ROI) against the run line. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (-1.5) (-120)
Analysis: Since May 27, 2019, the Pirates are 16-50 (-33.0% ROI) straight-up and 24-41 (-34.0% ROI) against the run line on the road following a game in which they issued five or more walks. Since September 14, 2020, the Pirates are 0-14 straight-up and 1-13 (-86.3% ROI) against the run line on the road with a starting pitcher entering off a road win in his previous outing. Since October 9, 2013, the Pirates are 0-21 straight-up and 2-19 (-82.0% ROI) against the run line as large underdogs with a starting pitcher who won his previous start on the road and finished with at least four strikeouts.
Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 507-142 (+10.2% ROI) straight-up and 390-258 (+11.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Take San Francisco and invest with confidence.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (-212)
Analysis: New York starting pitcher Max Scherzer is 11-0 straight-up and 9-0 against the run line since May 1, 2021, following an outing in which he allowed no earned runs. Chicago New York applies to a very good 413-134 (+8.8% ROI) straight-up and 316-228 (+8.7% ROI) run line system of mine that dates to 2017 and invests on certain home favorites of -200 or greater. The Mets also fall into a profitable 537-166 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 409-294 (+4.4% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take New York and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Friday, August 12
- Since September 1, 2012, the Kansas City Royals are 22-95 (-44.5% ROI) straight-up and 46-72 (-21.7% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 4-23 (-50.1% ROI) straight-up and 8-19 (-54.0% ROI) against the run line since 2021.
- Since 2019, home divisional favorites of -165 or greater are 222-76 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up and 168-130 (+9.7% ROI) against the run line following a loss.
- Since May 1, 2019, the Chicago White Sox are 78-31 (+13.6% ROI) straight-up and 60-48 (+16.3% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or more following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings.
- Since April 28, 2018, the Houston Astros are 24-6 (+25.2% ROI) straight-up and 16-14 (+1.0% ROI) against the run line in the first game of a series when playing without rest versus opponents that are on an extended losing streak.
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