Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Friday, April 12! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs OVER 223 points (-110)
Report: Since 2011, .451 or greater double-digit non-division favorites coming off a game in which they covered the spread are 330-259-22 to the Over (56%) versus opponents entering off a loss, including 156-90-3 OVER (63.4%) since 2019, covering the total by an average of +4.9 points per game. This situation contains very good 297-220-20 (57.4%) and 113-51-6 (68.9%) subset angles involving contests from Game 11 out. Since 1997, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater in games with totals of more than 210 points coming off a game that went over the total are 256-154-15 to the Over (62.4%) if the total is greater than their previous game. This situation contains a 167-104-10 (61.6%) subset angle involving games with totals of 219 or more points that has gone over by an average margin of +5.8 points per game.
Since 2015, double-digit NBA favorites from Game 76 out are 152-118-7 to the Over (56.3%), including 73-44 OVER (62.4%) since 2021, covering the total by an average of +4.33 points per game. Finally, since 2015, non-division conference games with double-digit spreads are 455-364-30 to the Over (55.6%), including 203-148-8 OVER (57.8%) since 2020, going over by an average of +2.7 points per game.
Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks UNDER 211.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1139-926-70 to the Under (55.2%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 601-446-36 to the Under (57.4%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 1995, NBA games with totals of less than 216 points are 569-409-25 to the Under (58.2%) if both teams have combined to average at least 430 points in their last three games, going under by an average of 2.7 points per game. Since 1995, NBA games with totals of less than 213 points are 271-165-25 to the Under (62.2%) if both teams have combined to average at least 430 points in their last three games, going under by an average of 3.9 points per game.
Since 2001, NBA games between teams that have the lowest total of their last three games in contests with totals of less than 225 points are 1197-868-72 (58%), including 516-343-28 (60.1%) since 2015, covering the total by an average margin of -3.0 points per game. The Knicks are 111-81-7 to the Under (57.8%) since February 22, 2019, coming off a road game in which they scored 30 or more points in the paint. Finally, the under applies to a very good 199-164-14 (55%) NBA totals system of mine that dates to 2014.
Colorado Rockies at Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2388-908 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1759-1330 RL (57%; +3% ROI), including 1256-434 SU (74.3%; +4.1% ROI) and 993-698 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. Since 2004, MLB home favorites of -154 or greater with starting pitchers coming off a loss in which they allowed eight or more runs are 567-301 SU (65.3%; +1% ROI) and 428-438 RL (+3.2% ROI), winning by an average of +1.6 runs per game. Toronto right-hander Kevin Gausman is 48-22 SU (68.6%; +8.7% ROI) and 39-31 RL (55.7%; +21.5% ROI) since 2015 coming off a non-quality start.
Since 2003, MLB favorites of -135 or greater with one day of rest following a game as home favorites in which they gave up four or more runs are 389-203 SU (65.7%; +4.5% ROI) and 237-203 RL (+2.5% ROI). Finally, since 2003, MLB favorites of -131 or greater with one day of rest are 232-102 (69.5%; +10.6% ROI) and 145-133 RL (+11.4% ROI) following a game as home favorites in which they gave up six or more runs, winning by an average of +1.7 runs per game.
Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NCAA Basketball Picks, NBA Predictions, and NCAA Basketball Predictions throughout the 2023-24 basketball seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.
Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!