Oskeim’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, 4/15

Apr 15, 2024

Betting Market Report & Free Picks, daily Betting Market Report & Free Picks, best betting market report and free picks

Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, April 15! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies 

Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2391-910 SU (72.4%; +2.3% ROI) and 1762-1332 RL (57%; +3% ROI), including 1259-436 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 996-700 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1340-565 SU (70.3%; +1.2% ROI) and 957-771 RL (55.5%; +3.4% ROI), including 638-250 SU (71.8%; +2.6% ROI) and 511-375 RL (57.7%; +4.4% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.2 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -196 or greater with starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.09 or better with revenge are 580-214 SU (73%; +4.8% ROI) and 418-314 RL (57.1%; +5.9% ROI), including 280-88 SU (76.1%; +8.2% ROI) and 216-152 RL (58.7%; +5.5% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.5 runs per game.

Since 2003, .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater off two or more consecutive losses are 1206-2421 SU (33.3%; -8% ROI) and 1585-1436 RL (-2.7% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game. Finally, the Rockies are 45-85 SU (34.6%; -8.9% ROI) and 58-54 RL (-4% ROI) as underdogs of greater than +135 in game 1 of a series following a road affair in which they had fewer than 12 hits, losing by an average of -1.62 runs per game. Colorado is 9-28 SU (24.3%; -32.8% ROI) under these circumstances since 2021, losing by an average of -2.41 runs per game.

Finally, Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola is 24-2 SU (92.3%; +38.6% ROI) and 21-5 RL (80.8%; +65.9% ROI) since 2018 as a home favorite of greater than -145 with an ERA of less than 4.50, winning by an average of +3.7 runs per game.

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers

Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2391-910 SU (72.4%; +2.3% ROI) and 1762-1332 RL (57%; +3% ROI), including 1259-436 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 996-700 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. The Dodgers are 52-19 SU (73.2%; +13.2% ROI) and 40-31 RL (56.3%; +16.8% ROI) since May 6, 2019, at home following a game as favorites in which they allowed six or more runs, winning by an average margin of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2722-4822 SU (36.1%; -4.1% ROI) and 3865-3257 RL (-2.3% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 710-1409 SU (33.5%; -8.5% ROI) and 1068-1047 RL (-6% ROI) since 2019, losing by -1.44 runs per game in that span.

The foregoing situation is 838-2038 SU (29.1%; -10.4% ROI) and 1160-1333 RL (-6.2% ROI) as road underdogs of +175 or greater, losing by an average of -1.84 runs per game. Finally, since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2368-4209 SU (36%; -4.1% ROI) and 3368-2843 RL (-2.4% ROI) versus .551 or greater league opponents, including 584-1191 SU (32.9%; -9.8% ROI) and 892-879 RL (-6% ROI) since 2019, losing by -1.5 runs per game in that span.

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers

Report: Since 2000, NHL favorites coming off a win as home favorites in which they allowed fewer than three goals are 1395-798 (63.6%; +3% ROI), including 273-140 (66.1%; +2.1% ROI) since 2020. Since 2009, NHL home favorites of -140 to -299 coming off a one-goal win are 366-181 (66.9%; +2.7% ROI) in games with totals of six or more goals, including 230-107 (68.2%; +4.3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.1 goals per game. Since 2014, .600 or greater favorites of -170 or greater are 545-248 (68.7%) from Game 41 out, including 334-143 (70%) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.22 goals per game. Since 2014, NHL home favorites are 1027-410 (71.5%) versus opponents with revenge, including 293-114 (72%) since 2022, winning by an average of +1.31 goals per game.

Since 2012, home favorites of -160 or greater coming off a home game are 191-92 (67.5%) in the month of April, including 98-41 (70.5%) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.4 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL underdogs of +124 or greater are 125-226 (35.6%; -6.7% ROI) versus opponents they had over 25 penalty minutes against in the previous meeting, including 27-67 (28.7%; -22.4% ROI) since 2016.

San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

Report: Since 2014, .600 or greater favorites of -170 or greater are 545-248 (68.7%) from Game 41 out, including 334-143 (70%) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.22 goals per game. Since 2014, NHL home favorites are 1027-410 (71.5%) versus opponents with revenge, including 293-114 (72%) since 2022, winning by an average of +1.31 goals per game. Since 2012, home favorites of -160 or greater coming off a home game are 191-92 (67.5%) in the month of April, including 98-41 (70.5%) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.4 goals per game. Since 2004, NHL road underdogs of +200 or greater coming off a loss are 297-876 (25.3%; -11.7% ROI), including 100-326 (23.5%; -15.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.62 goals per game.

Finally, since 2003, NHL underdogs that have lost five or more consecutive games to the opponent are 110-275 (28.6%; -24.1% ROI).

Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks, NBA Predictions, MLB Picks, MLB Predictions, NHL Picks, and NHL Predictions throughout the 2023-24 seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals and free picks.

Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!